{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-10-28-milan-bologna",
 "competition": "Serie A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-10-28T17:30:00Z",
 "venue": "San Siro, Milano",
 "home": {
  "name": "Milan",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/103.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Bologna",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/107.png"
 },
 "status": "finished",
 "result": {
  "home": 2,
  "away": 4
 },
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-10-29T06:42:08Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_rule": "max_expected_points",
  "max_expected_points_score": null,
  "expected_points": 0.937,
  "score_probability": 0.1124,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.5822,
   "draw": 0.2376,
   "away": 0.1802
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.824,
   "away": 0.916
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1133
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5161,
   "btts": 0.5085,
   "home_scores": 0.8386,
   "away_scores": 0.5999,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.423
  },
  "top_scores_by_expected_points": [
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 1,
     "away": 0
    },
    "expected_points": 0.937,
    "probability": 0.1124
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 2,
     "away": 1
    },
    "expected_points": 0.923,
    "probability": 0.0984
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 2,
     "away": 0
    },
    "expected_points": 0.871,
    "probability": 0.1074
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 3,
     "away": 2
    },
    "expected_points": 0.852,
    "probability": 0.0274
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 4,
     "away": 3
    },
    "expected_points": 0.828,
    "probability": 0.0038
   }
  ],
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
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    0.07,
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    0.0271,
    0.0083,
    0.0019,
    0.0003
   ],
   [
    0.1124,
    0.1133,
    0.0494,
    0.0151,
    0.0035,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.1074,
    0.0984,
    0.0451,
    0.0138,
    0.0032,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.0653,
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    0.0274,
    0.0084,
    0.0019,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.0298,
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    0.0125,
    0.0038,
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    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.0109,
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  ],
  "layer_weights": {
   "market": 1.0,
   "atmosphere": 0,
   "swarm": 0
  }
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.5822,
  "level": "medium_high",
  "level_tr": "orta-yüksek",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.606,
  "band": [
   0.55,
   0.6
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "market": {
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.5814,
   "draw": 0.2409,
   "away": 0.1777
  },
  "as_of": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
  "source_tr": null
 },
 "factors": null,
 "swarm": null,
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}