{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-10-28-monza-napoli",
 "competition": "Serie A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-10-28T19:45:00Z",
 "venue": "U-Power Stadium, Monza",
 "home": {
  "name": "Monza",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/4007.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Napoli",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/114.png"
 },
 "status": "finished",
 "result": {
  "home": 1,
  "away": 4
 },
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-10-29T06:42:09Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2
  },
  "score_rule": "max_expected_points",
  "max_expected_points_score": null,
  "expected_points": 0.872,
  "score_probability": 0.0984,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.2179,
   "draw": 0.2401,
   "away": 0.542
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.08,
   "away": 1.822
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1135
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5545,
   "btts": 0.559,
   "home_scores": 0.6604,
   "away_scores": 0.8383,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.1972
  },
  "top_scores_by_expected_points": [
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 1,
     "away": 2
    },
    "expected_points": 0.872,
    "probability": 0.0984
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 0,
     "away": 1
    },
    "expected_points": 0.868,
    "probability": 0.0946
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 2,
     "away": 3
    },
    "expected_points": 0.805,
    "probability": 0.0323
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 0,
     "away": 2
    },
    "expected_points": 0.801,
    "probability": 0.0911
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 3,
     "away": 4
    },
    "expected_points": 0.778,
    "probability": 0.0053
   }
  ],
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0603,
    0.0946,
    0.0911,
    0.0554,
    0.0252,
    0.0092
   ],
   [
    0.0539,
    0.1135,
    0.0984,
    0.0598,
    0.0272,
    0.0099
   ],
   [
    0.032,
    0.0584,
    0.0532,
    0.0323,
    0.0147,
    0.0054
   ],
   [
    0.0115,
    0.021,
    0.0191,
    0.0116,
    0.0053,
    0.0019
   ],
   [
    0.0031,
    0.0057,
    0.0052,
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    0.0014,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    0.0007,
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    0.0001
   ]
  ],
  "layer_weights": {
   "market": 1.0,
   "atmosphere": 0,
   "swarm": 0
  }
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.542,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "market": {
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.2165,
   "draw": 0.2421,
   "away": 0.5413
  },
  "as_of": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
  "source_tr": null
 },
 "factors": null,
 "swarm": null,
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}