{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-10-31-gwangju-fc-gimcheon-sangmu",
 "competition": "Güney Kore K Ligi 1",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-10-31T07:30:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Gwangju FC",
  "logo": null
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Gimcheon Sangmu",
  "logo": null
 },
 "status": "finished",
 "result": {
  "home": 1,
  "away": 1
 },
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-10-31T11:09:06Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 0,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_rule": "max_expected_points",
  "max_expected_points_score": {
   "home": 0,
   "away": 1
  },
  "expected_points": 0.742,
  "score_probability": 0.0981,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.3016,
   "draw": 0.2714,
   "away": 0.427
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.182,
   "away": 1.452
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1294
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.4901,
   "btts": 0.5372,
   "home_scores": 0.6933,
   "away_scores": 0.7659,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.2452
  },
  "top_scores_by_expected_points": [
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 0,
     "away": 1
    },
    "expected_points": 0.742,
    "probability": 0.0981
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 1,
     "away": 2
    },
    "expected_points": 0.734,
    "probability": 0.0895
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 1,
     "away": 1
    },
    "expected_points": 0.672,
    "probability": 0.1294
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 2,
     "away": 3
    },
    "expected_points": 0.67,
    "probability": 0.0256
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 3,
     "away": 4
    },
    "expected_points": 0.648,
    "probability": 0.0037
   }
  ],
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.078,
    0.0981,
    0.0757,
    0.0366,
    0.0133,
    0.0039
   ],
   [
    0.0787,
    0.1294,
    0.0895,
    0.0433,
    0.0157,
    0.0046
   ],
   [
    0.0502,
    0.0728,
    0.0529,
    0.0256,
    0.0093,
    0.0027
   ],
   [
    0.0198,
    0.0287,
    0.0208,
    0.0101,
    0.0037,
    0.0011
   ],
   [
    0.0058,
    0.0085,
    0.0062,
    0.003,
    0.0011,
    0.0003
   ],
   [
    0.0014,
    0.002,
    0.0015,
    0.0007,
    0.0003,
    0.0001
   ]
  ],
  "layer_weights": {
   "market": 1.0,
   "atmosphere": 0.0,
   "swarm": 0.0
  }
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.427,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "market": {
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.3015,
   "draw": 0.2714,
   "away": 0.4271
  },
  "as_of": "2026-10-30T09:51:27Z",
  "source_tr": "tahmin piyasası"
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Gwangju FC küme düşme mücadelesinde yer alıyor, antrenör Lee Jung-kyu tutarlı performans talep ediyor; Gimcheon Sangmu hakkında materyelde özel durum bulunmuyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-10-30T09:51:27Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "home_goals_effect_pct": 5.0,
  "away_goals_effect_pct": 0.0,
  "weight_in_prediction": 0.0,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.3169,
   "draw": 0.2691,
   "away": 0.414
  },
  "score": {
   "home": 0,
   "away": 1
  },
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "severity": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7,
    "summary_tr": "Takım küme düşme mücadelesi veriyor, antrenör tutarlılığı vurguluyor",
    "source": "Chosunbiz",
    "published_at": "2026-10-24 05:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5,
    "summary_tr": "Antrenörün tutarlılık çağrısı form dalgalanmalarına işaret edebilir",
    "source": "조선일보",
    "published_at": "2026-10-24 04:57"
   }
  ]
 },
 "swarm": null,
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}