{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-01-aarhus-fremad-hillerod",
 "competition": "Danimarka 1. Division",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-01T14:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Aarhus Fremad",
  "logo": null
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Hillerød",
  "logo": null
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-10-31T16:43:24Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_rule": "max_expected_points",
  "max_expected_points_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "expected_points": 0.793,
  "score_probability": 0.1146,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4495,
   "draw": 0.2793,
   "away": 0.2712
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.418,
   "away": 1.044
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1325
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.4464,
   "btts": 0.4973,
   "home_scores": 0.7578,
   "away_scores": 0.648,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3314
  },
  "top_scores_by_expected_points": [
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 1,
     "away": 0
    },
    "expected_points": 0.793,
    "probability": 0.1146
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 2,
     "away": 1
    },
    "expected_points": 0.768,
    "probability": 0.0895
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 3,
     "away": 2
    },
    "expected_points": 0.701,
    "probability": 0.0221
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 1,
     "away": 1
    },
    "expected_points": 0.691,
    "probability": 0.1325
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 4,
     "away": 3
    },
    "expected_points": 0.681,
    "probability": 0.0027
   }
  ],
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0916,
    0.0827,
    0.0465,
    0.0162,
    0.0042,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.1146,
    0.1325,
    0.0659,
    0.0229,
    0.006,
    0.0012
   ],
   [
    0.0857,
    0.0895,
    0.0467,
    0.0163,
    0.0042,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.0405,
    0.0423,
    0.0221,
    0.0077,
    0.002,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.0144,
    0.015,
    0.0078,
    0.0027,
    0.0007,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0041,
    0.0043,
    0.0022,
    0.0008,
    0.0002,
    0.0
   ]
  ],
  "layer_weights": {
   "market": 1.0,
   "atmosphere": 0.0,
   "swarm": 0.0
  }
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4495,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "market": {
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4496,
   "draw": 0.2793,
   "away": 0.2711
  },
  "as_of": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z",
  "source_tr": "bahis oranları"
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Sağlanan verilerde her iki takım için de kadro, sakatlık, motivasyon veya diğer etkileyici faktörlere dair hiçbir materyal bilgi yok.",
  "as_of": "2026-10-31T16:42:58Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "home_goals_effect_pct": 0.0,
  "away_goals_effect_pct": 0.0,
  "weight_in_prediction": 0.0,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4495,
   "draw": 0.2793,
   "away": 0.2712
  },
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "items": []
 },
 "swarm": null,
 "video": {
  "tr": {
   "url": "/videos/2026-11-01-aarhus-fremad-hillerod-tr.mp4",
   "prediction_updated_at": "2026-10-31T16:43:24Z"
  },
  "en": {
   "url": "/videos/2026-11-01-aarhus-fremad-hillerod-en.mp4",
   "prediction_updated_at": "2026-10-31T16:43:24Z"
  }
 },
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}