{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-01-amed-sportif-eyupspor",
 "competition": "Trendyol Süper Lig",
 "round": 10,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-01T10:30:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Amed Sportif",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/132335.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Eyüpspor",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/20729.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "pre_match",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-01T09:12:40Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 3,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_rule": "favourite_3plus_goals",
  "max_expected_points_score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 0
  },
  "expected_points": 1.063,
  "score_probability": 0.0707,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.7683,
   "draw": 0.1583,
   "away": 0.0734
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 2.432,
   "away": 0.63
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 0,
   "probability": 0.1384
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5905,
   "btts": 0.4299,
   "home_scores": 0.9121,
   "away_scores": 0.4674,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.564
  },
  "top_scores_by_expected_points": [
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 2,
     "away": 0
    },
    "expected_points": 1.131,
    "probability": 0.1384
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 1,
     "away": 0
    },
    "expected_points": 1.101,
    "probability": 0.1102
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 2,
     "away": 1
    },
    "expected_points": 1.078,
    "probability": 0.0872
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 3,
     "away": 1
    },
    "expected_points": 1.063,
    "probability": 0.0707
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 3,
     "away": 0
    },
    "expected_points": 1.043,
    "probability": 0.1122
   }
  ],
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0504,
    0.0259,
    0.0093,
    0.002,
    0.0003,
    0.0
   ],
   [
    0.1102,
    0.0753,
    0.0226,
    0.0047,
    0.0007,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.1384,
    0.0872,
    0.0275,
    0.0058,
    0.0009,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.1122,
    0.0707,
    0.0223,
    0.0047,
    0.0007,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0682,
    0.043,
    0.0135,
    0.0028,
    0.0004,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0332,
    0.0209,
    0.0066,
    0.0014,
    0.0002,
    0.0
   ]
  ],
  "layer_weights": {
   "market": 1.0,
   "atmosphere": 0.0,
   "swarm": 0.0
  }
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.7683,
  "level": "very_high",
  "level_tr": "çok yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.78,
  "band": [
   0.7,
   0.8
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "market": {
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.7689,
   "draw": 0.1457,
   "away": 0.0854
  },
  "as_of": "2026-11-01T09:11:37Z",
  "source_tr": "maç günü piyasası"
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Amed ev serisi ve iyi formla favori; Eyüpspor berbat form, cezalı oyuncu ve iç karışıklıkla zayıf.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-01T09:11:37Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "home_goals_effect_pct": 5.0,
  "away_goals_effect_pct": -15.0,
  "weight_in_prediction": 0.0,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.807,
   "draw": 0.1389,
   "away": 0.0541
  },
  "score": {
   "home": 3,
   "away": 0
  },
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "severity": 2,
    "confidence": 0.9,
    "summary_tr": "Evinde 28 maçtır yenilmez, son 5 maçta 4 galibiyet 1 beraberlik",
    "source": "Evrensel",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 06:37"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "other",
    "category_tr": "Diğer",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8,
    "summary_tr": "PFDK'dan iki ayrı ceza ve 100 bin TL para cezası alındı",
    "source": "Van Bölge Gazetesi / Güneydoğu Güncel",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 10:51"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 3,
    "confidence": 1.0,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 5 yenilgi, 0 gol atıp 17 gol yedi",
    "source": "Recent fixtures",
    "published_at": "2026-10-24 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "suspension",
    "category_tr": "Ceza",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7,
    "summary_tr": "Amed maçı öncesi son anda bir oyuncu cezalı oldu",
    "source": "Mücadele Gazetesi",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 11:21"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "other",
    "category_tr": "Diğer",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6,
    "summary_tr": "Beklenmedik gelişme, erteleme cezası getirdi",
    "source": "Eyüpsultan Haber",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 19:29"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8,
    "summary_tr": "İstanbul'dan Diyarbakır'a uzun seyahat, deplasman dezavantajı",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T10:30"
   }
  ]
 },
 "swarm": null,
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}