{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-01-trabzonspor-gaziantep-fk",
 "competition": "Trendyol Süper Lig",
 "round": 10,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-01T13:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Trabzonspor",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/997.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Gaziantep FK",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/20070.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "pre_match",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-01T12:10:05Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 3,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_rule": "favourite_3plus_goals",
  "max_expected_points_score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 0
  },
  "expected_points": 1.078,
  "score_probability": 0.0778,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.7832,
   "draw": 0.1428,
   "away": 0.074
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 2.696,
   "away": 0.738
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 0,
   "probability": 0.1172
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6667,
   "btts": 0.4899,
   "home_scores": 0.9325,
   "away_scores": 0.5219,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.5864
  },
  "top_scores_by_expected_points": [
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 2,
     "away": 0
    },
    "expected_points": 1.118,
    "probability": 0.1172
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 3,
     "away": 1
    },
    "expected_points": 1.078,
    "probability": 0.0778
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 2,
     "away": 1
    },
    "expected_points": 1.074,
    "probability": 0.0865
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 1,
     "away": 0
    },
    "expected_points": 1.071,
    "probability": 0.0838
   },
   {
    "score": {
     "home": 3,
     "away": 0
    },
    "expected_points": 1.058,
    "probability": 0.1054
   }
  ],
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0355,
    0.0206,
    0.0088,
    0.0022,
    0.0004,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0838,
    0.0674,
    0.0237,
    0.0058,
    0.0011,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.1172,
    0.0865,
    0.0319,
    0.0079,
    0.0014,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.1054,
    0.0778,
    0.0287,
    0.0071,
    0.0013,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.071,
    0.0524,
    0.0193,
    0.0048,
    0.0009,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0383,
    0.0283,
    0.0104,
    0.0026,
    0.0005,
    0.0001
   ]
  ],
  "layer_weights": {
   "market": 1.0,
   "atmosphere": 0.0,
   "swarm": 0.0
  }
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.7832,
  "level": "very_high",
  "level_tr": "çok yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.78,
  "band": [
   0.7,
   0.8
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "market": {
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.7833,
   "draw": 0.133,
   "away": 0.0837
  },
  "as_of": "2026-11-01T12:07:57Z",
  "source_tr": "maç günü piyasası"
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Her iki takımda da ciddi sakatlıklar var; Trabzonspor formda ama yorulmuş, Gaziantep FK krizi derin.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-01T12:07:57Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "home_goals_effect_pct": -15.0,
  "away_goals_effect_pct": -20.0,
  "weight_in_prediction": 0.0,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.7554,
   "draw": 0.1692,
   "away": 0.0754
  },
  "score": {
   "home": 3,
   "away": 1
  },
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 3,
    "confidence": 0.9,
    "summary_tr": "7-8 ana kadro oyuncusu sakatlıkla dışarıda",
    "source": "Taka Gazete",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 08:59"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8,
    "summary_tr": "Son 16 günde 5 maç, Avrupa yolculukları dahil",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-26 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "suspension",
    "category_tr": "Ceza",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8,
    "summary_tr": "3 oyuncu sarı kart sınırında, ceza riski",
    "source": "Haber61",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 16:52"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "severity": 2,
    "confidence": 0.9,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 resmi maçta 5 galibiyet, moral yüksek",
    "source": "NTV Haber",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 11:33"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 3,
    "confidence": 0.9,
    "summary_tr": "8 futbolcu sakat, kadro derinliği ciddi azaldı",
    "source": "Alanya Postası",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 14:59"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 2,
    "confidence": 0.9,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 lig maçında 4 yenilgi, 1 beraberlik",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-24 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "severity": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7,
    "summary_tr": "Yenilgi serisi ve sakatlıklar moralı düşürdü",
    "source": "Alanya Postası",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 14:59"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": 1,
    "severity": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7,
    "summary_tr": "Son maçtan bu yana 1 hafta tam dinlenme",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-24 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "swarm": null,
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}