{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-02-bragantino-santos",
 "competition": "Brasileirão Série A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-02T23:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Bragantino",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/6079.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Santos",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/2674.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T05:22:04Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.094,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4874,
   "draw": 0.2362,
   "away": 0.2764
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.86,
   "away": 1.36
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1061
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6243,
   "btts": 0.6327,
   "home_scores": 0.8443,
   "away_scores": 0.7433,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3749
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.045,
    0.0493,
    0.037,
    0.0168,
    0.0057,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    0.0693,
    0.1061,
    0.0687,
    0.0312,
    0.0106,
    0.0029
   ],
   [
    0.0691,
    0.094,
    0.0639,
    0.029,
    0.0099,
    0.0027
   ],
   [
    0.0429,
    0.0583,
    0.0396,
    0.018,
    0.0061,
    0.0017
   ],
   [
    0.0199,
    0.0271,
    0.0184,
    0.0084,
    0.0028,
    0.0008
   ],
   [
    0.0074,
    0.0101,
    0.0069,
    0.0031,
    0.0011,
    0.0003
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4874,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Bragantino iki oyuncu dönüşüyle güçlenirken; Santos'ta Arthur dönüşü ve önemli eksiklik dengeleniyor, motivasyon yüksek.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T05:14:28Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "İki oyuncu sakatlıkdan dönüyor, kadro güçleniyor.",
    "source": "ge",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 14:44"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Arthur sakatlıkdan döndü, oynama ihtimali var.",
    "source": "OneFootball",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 12:19"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Önemli bir oyuncu sakatlıkla dışarıda.",
    "source": "Terra",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 03:45"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Gabigol deplasman golü hedefliyor.",
    "source": "OneFootball",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 12:27"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}