{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-02-rc-deportivo-a-coruna-osasuna",
 "competition": "La Liga",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "RC Deportivo A Coruña",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/90.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Osasuna",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/97.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T05:15:55Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.1301,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4428,
   "draw": 0.2934,
   "away": 0.2638
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.312,
   "away": 0.95
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1363
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.3939,
   "btts": 0.4546,
   "home_scores": 0.7307,
   "away_scores": 0.6133,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3207
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.1106,
    0.0924,
    0.047,
    0.0149,
    0.0035,
    0.0007
   ],
   [
    0.1301,
    0.1363,
    0.0617,
    0.0195,
    0.0046,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.0896,
    0.0852,
    0.0404,
    0.0128,
    0.003,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.0392,
    0.0372,
    0.0177,
    0.0056,
    0.0013,
    0.0003
   ],
   [
    0.0129,
    0.0122,
    0.0058,
    0.0018,
    0.0004,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0034,
    0.0032,
    0.0015,
    0.0005,
    0.0001,
    0.0
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4428,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Deportivo kupa yorgunluğu ve kötü lig formuyla mağlubiyet riski taşıyor; Osasuna ise dinlenmiş ana kadrosu ile avantajlı ama deplasman golcüğü endişe verici.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T05:14:28Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 lig maçında 1 beraberlik, 3 mağlubiyet, 1 galibiyet (Kupa hariç)",
    "source": "Recent fixtures",
    "published_at": "2026-10-29 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Copa del Rey maçı lig önceliğini bozdu, 4 günlük dinlenme süresi",
    "source": "Cadena SER",
    "published_at": "2026-10-27 10:09"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Kupa maçından sonra kadro rotasyonu riski, olası onbir değişiklikleri",
    "source": "Diario AS",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 01:12"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "5 temel oyuncu (Rosier, Catena, Boyomo, Moi Gómez, Moncayola) Kupada dinlendirildi",
    "source": "Noticias de Navarra",
    "published_at": "2026-10-28 18:39"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 4 deplasman lig maçında gol atamadı, dış saha verimsizliği",
    "source": "naiz:",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 14:26"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "İñigo Ruiz de Galarreta orta derecede kas sakatlığıyla dışarıda",
    "source": "naiz:",
    "published_at": "2026-10-27 16:47"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": {
  "tr": {
   "url": "/videos/2026-11-02-rc-deportivo-a-coruna-osasuna-tr.mp4",
   "prediction_updated_at": "2026-11-02T05:15:55Z"
  },
  "en": {
   "url": "/videos/2026-11-02-rc-deportivo-a-coruna-osasuna-en.mp4",
   "prediction_updated_at": "2026-11-02T05:15:55Z"
  }
 },
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}