{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-03-chapecoense-mirassol",
 "competition": "Brasileirão Série A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-03T22:30:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Chapecoense",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/9318.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Mirassol",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/9169.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T05:16:34Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0954,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.2665,
   "draw": 0.2462,
   "away": 0.4873
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.24,
   "away": 1.746
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1148
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5737,
   "btts": 0.5921,
   "home_scores": 0.7106,
   "away_scores": 0.8255,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.2308
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.056,
    0.0827,
    0.077,
    0.0448,
    0.0196,
    0.0068
   ],
   [
    0.0571,
    0.1148,
    0.0954,
    0.0555,
    0.0242,
    0.0085
   ],
   [
    0.0388,
    0.0678,
    0.0592,
    0.0344,
    0.015,
    0.0052
   ],
   [
    0.016,
    0.028,
    0.0245,
    0.0142,
    0.0062,
    0.0022
   ],
   [
    0.005,
    0.0087,
    0.0076,
    0.0044,
    0.0019,
    0.0007
   ],
   [
    0.0012,
    0.0022,
    0.0019,
    0.0011,
    0.0005,
    0.0002
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.4873,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Chapecoense düşüş neredeyse kesin, motivasyon ve form düşük. Mirassol cezalı oyuncu ve az dinlenme ile mücadele ediyor ancak düşüş mücadelesi için motivasyonu yüksek. Her iki takımdaki olumsuz faktörler gol beklentilerini azaltıyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T05:14:28Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 4 yenilgi, form kötü.",
    "source": "Portal Tri Notícias",
    "published_at": "2026-10-29 10:36"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Matematiksel düşüş neredeyse kesin, motivasyon düşük.",
    "source": "ge",
    "published_at": "2026-10-29 12:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son ağır yenilgilerle moral bozuk.",
    "source": "fixture list",
    "published_at": "2026-10-28 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "suspension",
    "category_tr": "Ceza",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Hücum oyuncusu kırmızı kart gördü, bu maçta cezalı.",
    "source": "Rádio Itatiaia",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 23:42"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Kalan maçlarda puan almak zorunda, motivasyon yüksek.",
    "source": "iG Esportes",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 15:21"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Sadece 4 gün dinlenme, yorgunluk riski.",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}