{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-03-galatasaray-vfb-stuttgart",
 "competition": "UEFA Şampiyonlar Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-03T17:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Galatasaray",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/432.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "VfB Stuttgart",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/134.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T18:29:25Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0884,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4375,
   "draw": 0.2361,
   "away": 0.3264
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.808,
   "away": 1.542
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1027
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6505,
   "btts": 0.662,
   "home_scores": 0.836,
   "away_scores": 0.786,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3461
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.04,
    0.0492,
    0.0417,
    0.0214,
    0.0083,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    0.0585,
    0.1027,
    0.0754,
    0.0388,
    0.0149,
    0.0046
   ],
   [
    0.0573,
    0.0884,
    0.0682,
    0.035,
    0.0135,
    0.0042
   ],
   [
    0.0346,
    0.0533,
    0.0411,
    0.0211,
    0.0081,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    0.0156,
    0.0241,
    0.0186,
    0.0095,
    0.0037,
    0.0011
   ],
   [
    0.0056,
    0.0087,
    0.0067,
    0.0035,
    0.0013,
    0.0004
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4375,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Galatasaray Osimhen'in belirsizliği ve yoğun fikstürle mücadele ederken Stuttgart da sakatlıklar ve yoğun programla mağlup olmamak için mücadele edecek.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:38:16Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Osimhen sakatlık riski, oynama durumu belirsiz",
    "source": "Legit News",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 16:56"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Konyaspor maçından 2 gün sonra yoğun fikstür",
    "source": "Bleacher Report",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 10:33"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Galatasaray son 5 maçı kazandı, moral yüksek",
    "source": "Daily Sabah",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 08:47"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "6 günde 3 maç (Paderborn, Leverkusen, Galatasaray)",
    "source": "WhoScored.com",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 13:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Çifte sakatlık seti, Stiller de dahil olabilir",
    "source": "Get German Football News",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 10:03"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Takım cesur ve kararlı olmak istiyor",
    "source": "VfB Stuttgart",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 17:08"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": {
  "tr": {
   "url": "/videos/2026-11-03-galatasaray-vfb-stuttgart-tr.mp4",
   "prediction_updated_at": "2026-11-02T18:29:25Z"
  }
 },
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}