{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-03-villarreal-paris-saint-germain",
 "competition": "UEFA Şampiyonlar Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Villarreal",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/102.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Paris Saint Germain",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/160.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T18:29:26Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0951,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.192,
   "draw": 0.2016,
   "away": 0.6064
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.244,
   "away": 2.3
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2,
   "probability": 0.0951
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6872,
   "btts": 0.6445,
   "home_scores": 0.7118,
   "away_scores": 0.8997,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.1903
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.033,
    0.0623,
    0.0764,
    0.0586,
    0.0337,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    0.0318,
    0.0868,
    0.0951,
    0.0729,
    0.0419,
    0.0193
   ],
   [
    0.0224,
    0.0514,
    0.0591,
    0.0453,
    0.0261,
    0.012
   ],
   [
    0.0093,
    0.0213,
    0.0245,
    0.0188,
    0.0108,
    0.005
   ],
   [
    0.0029,
    0.0066,
    0.0076,
    0.0058,
    0.0034,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    0.0007,
    0.0017,
    0.0019,
    0.0015,
    0.0008,
    0.0004
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.6064,
  "level": "high",
  "level_tr": "yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.661,
  "band": [
   0.6,
   0.7
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Villarreal Moreno'siz ve kötü formda; PSG Kvaratskhelia'sız ama derin kadro ve motivasyon avantajlı.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:39:34Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Gerard Moreno sakatlık riski, dört gün önce yaralanma endişesi",
    "source": "OneFootball",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 21:41"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Altı maçtır galibiyetsiz, Espanyol'a evde 1-0 mağlup",
    "source": "LiveScore",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 11:14"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Kötü seriden dolayı takım morali düşük olabilir",
    "source": "LiveScore",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 11:14"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Kvaratskhelia sakat, üçüncü şampiyonluk hedefinde büyük kayıp",
    "source": "Kuwait Times",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 10:32"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Dembélé, Marquinhos, Nuno Mendes önceki maçta yoktu, dönüş muhtemel",
    "source": "Yahoo Sports",
    "published_at": "2026-10-29 11:16"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "squad",
    "category_tr": "Kadro",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Hakimi kadroda, sağ bek pozisyonu güçlü",
    "source": "The False 9",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 04:08"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}