{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-04-aek-real-madrid",
 "competition": "UEFA Şampiyonlar Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-04T17:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "AEK",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/887.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Real Madrid",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/86.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T18:29:26Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 3
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0817,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.0849,
   "draw": 0.1249,
   "away": 0.7902
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.054,
   "away": 3.22
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 3,
   "probability": 0.0817
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.7993,
   "btts": 0.6278,
   "home_scores": 0.6515,
   "away_scores": 0.96,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.115
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0163,
    0.0425,
    0.0722,
    0.0775,
    0.0624,
    0.0402
   ],
   [
    0.0123,
    0.0497,
    0.0761,
    0.0817,
    0.0658,
    0.0424
   ],
   [
    0.0077,
    0.0249,
    0.0401,
    0.0431,
    0.0347,
    0.0223
   ],
   [
    0.0027,
    0.0088,
    0.0141,
    0.0151,
    0.0122,
    0.0078
   ],
   [
    0.0007,
    0.0023,
    0.0037,
    0.004,
    0.0032,
    0.0021
   ],
   [
    0.0002,
    0.0005,
    0.0008,
    0.0008,
    0.0007,
    0.0004
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.7902,
  "level": "very_high",
  "level_tr": "çok yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.78,
  "band": [
   0.7,
   0.8
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "AEK önemli sakatlık ve son mağlubiyetle zayıflamış; Real Madrid ise birden fazla anahtar sakatlık, rotasyon ve Vinicius gündemiyle gol beklentisi düşmüş.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:40:30Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Önemli bir oyuncu sakatlığı veya cezası Real Madrid maçı öncesi büyük darbe",
    "source": "Goal.com",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 21:50"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Real Madrid maçından önce 2-0 mağlubiyet alarak moral düşük",
    "source": "Real Madrid CF Web Oficial",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 18:57"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Valverde, Rodrygo, Mendy sakatlıkları kadroyu zayıflatıyor, Valverde Clasico sakatlığından kurtulamadı",
    "source": "Sports Mole",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 22:49"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Başlangıç on birinde bir yıldızın bankada oturması kararı alındı",
    "source": "Yahoo Sports",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 18:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "squad",
    "category_tr": "Kadro",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Mourinho AEK maçı öncesi bir anahtar oyuncuyu kadroya geri kazandı",
    "source": "Goal.com",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 13:18"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Vinicius Jr. sahadışı bir skandal ile gündemde, odaklanmayı bozabilir",
    "source": "Goal.com",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 14:28"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}