{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-04-athletico-paranaense-vasco-da-gama",
 "competition": "Brasileirão Série A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-04T22:30:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Athletico Paranaense",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/3458.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Vasco da Gama",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/3454.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T05:17:44Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0999,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4401,
   "draw": 0.27,
   "away": 0.2899
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.48,
   "away": 1.156
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1287
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.4906,
   "btts": 0.5354,
   "home_scores": 0.7724,
   "away_scores": 0.6853,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3308
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0778,
    0.0767,
    0.0479,
    0.0184,
    0.0053,
    0.0012
   ],
   [
    0.0999,
    0.1287,
    0.0709,
    0.0273,
    0.0079,
    0.0018
   ],
   [
    0.0785,
    0.0907,
    0.0524,
    0.0202,
    0.0058,
    0.0013
   ],
   [
    0.0387,
    0.0447,
    0.0259,
    0.01,
    0.0029,
    0.0007
   ],
   [
    0.0143,
    0.0166,
    0.0096,
    0.0037,
    0.0011,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.0042,
    0.0049,
    0.0028,
    0.0011,
    0.0003,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4401,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Her iki takım da kötü formda; Athletico ev avantajı mahkum futbolcu krizi ve toplu halat zayıflığı ile zayıflıyor; Vasco sakatlık, ceza ve yoğun fikstürle mücadele ediyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T05:15:56Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "club_management",
    "category_tr": "Yönetim",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Mahkum futbolcu oynatılması krizi yarattı",
    "source": "CNN Brasil",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 00:03"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 1 galibiyet, 2 yenilgi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 22:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fans",
    "category_tr": "Taraftar",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Taraftar tepkisi ve moral bozukluğu riski",
    "source": "CNN Brasil",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 00:03"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "other",
    "category_tr": "Diğer",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Toplu halatlarda ligin en zayıf takımı",
    "source": "Bem Paraná",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 02:31"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Yoğun program, son 4 maçta 3 deplasman",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 22:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "3 gün içinde 2 deplasman (Palmeiras sonrası)",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 22:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Andrés Gómez sakatlığı, son maçta oynamadı",
    "source": "O TEMPO",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 20:14"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 1 galibiyet, 4 yenilgi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 22:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "suspension",
    "category_tr": "Ceza",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Plata cezalı, Carrascal dönüyor",
    "source": "OneFootball",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 02:10"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "coach",
    "category_tr": "Teknik direktör",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Pedro Emanuel baskı altında, kadro savunuyor",
    "source": "GZH",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 03:06"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}