{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-04-borussia-dortmund-real-betis-balompie",
 "competition": "UEFA Şampiyonlar Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Borussia Dortmund",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/124.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Real Betis Balompié",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/244.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T17:43:17Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0982,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.5623,
   "draw": 0.2239,
   "away": 0.2139
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 2.014,
   "away": 1.178
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1024
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6184,
   "btts": 0.6046,
   "home_scores": 0.8665,
   "away_scores": 0.6921,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.4222
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.046,
    0.0435,
    0.0285,
    0.0112,
    0.0033,
    0.0008
   ],
   [
    0.0779,
    0.1024,
    0.0574,
    0.0225,
    0.0066,
    0.0016
   ],
   [
    0.0833,
    0.0982,
    0.0578,
    0.0227,
    0.0067,
    0.0016
   ],
   [
    0.0559,
    0.0659,
    0.0388,
    0.0152,
    0.0045,
    0.0011
   ],
   [
    0.0282,
    0.0332,
    0.0195,
    0.0077,
    0.0023,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    0.0113,
    0.0134,
    0.0079,
    0.0031,
    0.0009,
    0.0002
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.5623,
  "level": "medium_high",
  "level_tr": "orta-yüksek",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.606,
  "band": [
   0.55,
   0.6
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Her iki takım da yoğun fikstürden etkilendi; Dortmund moral avantajı, Betis sakatlık ve transfer gündemleriyle daha dezavantajlı.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:42:16Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Der Klassiker maçından sadece 4 gün sonra Şampiyonlar Ligi maçı oynanacak",
    "source": "Yahoo Sports",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 20:47"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Bayern deplasmanında 2-2 beraberlik alınarak moral artışı sağlandı",
    "source": "Yahoo Sports",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 20:47"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "LaLiga Málaga maçından sadece 4 gün sonra Şampiyonlar Ligi maçı oynanacak",
    "source": "YSscores",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 16:36"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}