{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-04-fc-porto-napoli",
 "competition": "UEFA Şampiyonlar Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "FC Porto",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/437.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Napoli",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/114.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T17:44:57Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0952,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4825,
   "draw": 0.2537,
   "away": 0.2638
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.666,
   "away": 1.176
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.12
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5405,
   "btts": 0.5665,
   "home_scores": 0.811,
   "away_scores": 0.6915,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3627
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.064,
    0.0629,
    0.0403,
    0.0158,
    0.0046,
    0.0011
   ],
   [
    0.0914,
    0.12,
    0.0672,
    0.0263,
    0.0077,
    0.0018
   ],
   [
    0.0809,
    0.0952,
    0.056,
    0.0219,
    0.0064,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    0.0449,
    0.0528,
    0.0311,
    0.0122,
    0.0036,
    0.0008
   ],
   [
    0.0187,
    0.022,
    0.0129,
    0.0051,
    0.0015,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.0062,
    0.0073,
    0.0043,
    0.0017,
    0.0005,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4825,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Porto Smalling'siz oynarken Napoli Lobotka, Di Lorenzo, Olivera eksikliği ve moral bozukluğu ile sahaya çıkıyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:42:57Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Chris Smalling sağ diz bağları sakatlığıyla dışarıda",
    "source": "The Peoples Person",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 00:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Estoril maçından 3 gün sonra yoğun fikstür",
    "source": "Footboom",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 00:40"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Genç Pietuszewski sadece UCL için kadroda",
    "source": "OneFootball",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 10:22"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Lobotka çifte sakatlıkla uzun süre dışarıda",
    "source": "La Gazzetta dello Sport",
    "published_at": "2026-10-29 14:45"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Di Lorenzo ve Olivera sakatlıkla dışarıda",
    "source": "La Gazzetta dello Sport",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 16:31"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Sakatlık krizi, genç oyuncular çağrılıyor",
    "source": "YSscores",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 15:28"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Juventus'e 2-0 mağlup, moral bozuk",
    "source": "Football Italia",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 22:15"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Juventus maçından 3 gün sonra deplasman",
    "source": "LiveScore",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 08:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}