{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-04-fenerbahce-liverpool",
 "competition": "UEFA Şampiyonlar Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-04T17:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Fenerbahçe",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/436.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Liverpool",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/364.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T18:29:26Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0985,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.1642,
   "draw": 0.2039,
   "away": 0.6319
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.046,
   "away": 2.204
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2,
   "probability": 0.0985
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6304,
   "btts": 0.5815,
   "home_scores": 0.6487,
   "away_scores": 0.8896,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.1661
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0432,
    0.081,
    0.0942,
    0.0692,
    0.0381,
    0.0168
   ],
   [
    0.0361,
    0.0939,
    0.0985,
    0.0724,
    0.0399,
    0.0176
   ],
   [
    0.0212,
    0.0468,
    0.0515,
    0.0379,
    0.0209,
    0.0092
   ],
   [
    0.0074,
    0.0163,
    0.018,
    0.0132,
    0.0073,
    0.0032
   ],
   [
    0.0019,
    0.0043,
    0.0047,
    0.0035,
    0.0019,
    0.0008
   ],
   [
    0.0004,
    0.0009,
    0.001,
    0.0007,
    0.0004,
    0.0002
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.6319,
  "level": "high",
  "level_tr": "yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.661,
  "band": [
   0.6,
   0.7
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Fenerbahçe teknik direktör krizi, defans sakatlıkları (Oppong, Asensio) ve Burak Yılmaz cezası ile zayıflamış; Liverpool ise yoğun sakatlık listesi (Szoboszlai, Frimpong vb.) ve Arsenal maçından 3 gün sonraki deplasman yorgunluğu ile antrenmanlı.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:41:22Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Kojo Oppong sakatlıkla Liverpool maçından dışlandı, defans krizi",
    "source": "turkish-football.com",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 13:49"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "coach",
    "category_tr": "Teknik direktör",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Kartal ayrıldı, Kuyt geçici teknik direktör atandı, kulüp krizinde",
    "source": "beIN SPORTS",
    "published_at": "2026-10-28 13:52"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "suspension",
    "category_tr": "Ceza",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Yıldız oyuncu Burak Yılmaz cezalı, maçta oynayamayacak",
    "source": "Haberler.com",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 17:12"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Asensio sakatlığı şok etkisi yarattı, kadroda eksiklik",
    "source": "Haberler.com",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 19:37"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Greenwood sakatlık sonrası tam antrenmana döndü, kadro güçlendi",
    "source": "turkish football",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 14:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Szoboszlai, Munoz, Frimpong, Ekitike, Leoni sakat, dönüş belirsiz",
    "source": "London Evening Standard",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 07:07"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "squad",
    "category_tr": "Kadro",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Arsenal maçı için 14 oyuncu eksik olabilirdi, kadro derinliği ciddi azaldı",
    "source": "Liverpool Echo",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 04:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Arsenal maçından 3 gün sonra deplasmanda Fenerbahçe maçı, yorgunluk riski",
    "source": "KopTalk",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 08:21"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": {
  "tr": {
   "url": "/videos/2026-11-04-fenerbahce-liverpool-tr.mp4",
   "prediction_updated_at": "2026-11-02T18:29:26Z"
  }
 },
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}