{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-04-rb-leipzig-manchester-city",
 "competition": "UEFA Şampiyonlar Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "RB Leipzig",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/11420.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Manchester City",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/382.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T18:29:26Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0953,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.1758,
   "draw": 0.1959,
   "away": 0.6283
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.19,
   "away": 2.352
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2,
   "probability": 0.0953
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6868,
   "btts": 0.6336,
   "home_scores": 0.6958,
   "away_scores": 0.9048,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.1788
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.033,
    0.0641,
    0.0801,
    0.0628,
    0.0369,
    0.0174
   ],
   [
    0.0304,
    0.0851,
    0.0953,
    0.0747,
    0.0439,
    0.0207
   ],
   [
    0.0205,
    0.0482,
    0.0567,
    0.0445,
    0.0261,
    0.0123
   ],
   [
    0.0081,
    0.0191,
    0.0225,
    0.0176,
    0.0104,
    0.0049
   ],
   [
    0.0024,
    0.0057,
    0.0067,
    0.0052,
    0.0031,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    0.0006,
    0.0014,
    0.0016,
    0.0012,
    0.0007,
    0.0003
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.6283,
  "level": "high",
  "level_tr": "yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.661,
  "band": [
   0.6,
   0.7
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Leipzig teknik direktör krizi ve form düşüğüyle City sakatlıklar, yoğun fikstür ve kötü formla mücadele edecek; her iki takımdaki olumsuz faktörler gol beklentilerini düşürüyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:44:57Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "coach",
    "category_tr": "Teknik direktör",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Teknik direktör Demichelis istifa tehdidiyle moral bozulmuş olabilir.",
    "source": "Manchester Evening News",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 16:14"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Nkunku sakatlıkdan dönüş yaparak hücum gücü artıyor.",
    "source": "roundtable.io",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 11:39"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Takım kötü formda, galibiyet açlığı yüksek.",
    "source": "Bulinews",
    "published_at": "2026-10-29 21:51"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Çoklu sakatlıklar kadro derinliğini azaltıyor.",
    "source": "Manchester Evening News",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 06:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son maçlarda galibiyet alamama moralini düşürüyor.",
    "source": "TNT Sports",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 16:50"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Yoğun fikstür ve rotasyon yorgunluk yaratabilir.",
    "source": "Manchester City FC",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 13:45"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}