{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-04-slavia-praha-arsenal",
 "competition": "UEFA Şampiyonlar Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Slavia Praha",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/494.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Arsenal",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/359.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T18:29:26Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 0,
   "away": 2
  },
  "score_probability": 0.1175,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.0853,
   "draw": 0.1557,
   "away": 0.759
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 0.766,
   "away": 2.57
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 0,
   "away": 2,
   "probability": 0.1175
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6477,
   "btts": 0.4977,
   "home_scores": 0.5351,
   "away_scores": 0.9235,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.1057
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0391,
    0.0879,
    0.1175,
    0.1007,
    0.0647,
    0.0332
   ],
   [
    0.0238,
    0.0735,
    0.09,
    0.0771,
    0.0495,
    0.0255
   ],
   [
    0.0104,
    0.0268,
    0.0345,
    0.0295,
    0.019,
    0.0098
   ],
   [
    0.0027,
    0.0069,
    0.0088,
    0.0075,
    0.0048,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    0.0005,
    0.0013,
    0.0017,
    0.0014,
    0.0009,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    0.0001,
    0.0002,
    0.0003,
    0.0002,
    0.0001,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.759,
  "level": "very_high",
  "level_tr": "çok yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.78,
  "band": [
   0.7,
   0.8
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Slavia evinde motivasyonlu; Arsenal sakatlık krizi ve yoğun fikstürle boğuşuyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:44:58Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "İstenmeyen UCL rekorunu önlemek için yüksek motivasyon",
    "source": "thenational.co.za",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 09:20"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Saka dışarıda; Rice, Calafiori, Saliba, Eze, Madueke şüpheli",
    "source": "The False 9",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 16:15"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Liverpool deplasmanından 3 gün sonra Prag deplasmanı",
    "source": "UEFA.com",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 16:41"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Sakatlıklar ve yoğun fikstür rotasyona zorlayabilir",
    "source": "UEFA.com",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 14:40"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Anfield'de Liverpool'e 1-0 galibiyetle moral yüksek",
    "source": "The False 9",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 19:06"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}