{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-ac-sparta-praha-afc-bournemouth",
 "competition": "UEFA Avrupa Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "AC Sparta Praha",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/433.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "AFC Bournemouth",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/349.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T17:49:14Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0988,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.154,
   "draw": 0.2039,
   "away": 0.6421
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 0.98,
   "away": 2.178
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 0,
   "away": 2,
   "probability": 0.1008
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6113,
   "btts": 0.5585,
   "home_scores": 0.6247,
   "away_scores": 0.8867,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.1573
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.047,
    0.0881,
    0.1008,
    0.0732,
    0.0399,
    0.0174
   ],
   [
    0.0371,
    0.0953,
    0.0988,
    0.0717,
    0.0391,
    0.017
   ],
   [
    0.0204,
    0.0445,
    0.0484,
    0.0352,
    0.0191,
    0.0083
   ],
   [
    0.0067,
    0.0145,
    0.0158,
    0.0115,
    0.0063,
    0.0027
   ],
   [
    0.0016,
    0.0036,
    0.0039,
    0.0028,
    0.0015,
    0.0007
   ],
   [
    0.0003,
    0.0007,
    0.0008,
    0.0006,
    0.0003,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.6421,
  "level": "high",
  "level_tr": "yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.661,
  "band": [
   0.6,
   0.7
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Sparta derbi olayları sonrası moral kaybı ve zayıf Avrupa formu ile sahada; Bournemouth mükemmel formda ancak yoğun fikstür ve sakatlık riskleriyle yorgun.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:45:34Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Avrupa Lig'nde son 3 maçta 1 galibiyet, 1 beraberlik, 1 mağlubiyet; deplasmanda zorlanıyor",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Derbi pitch invasion ve Sparta oyuncularına saldırılar sonrası moral ve güvenlik endişeleri",
    "source": "Yahoo Sports",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:42"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 resmi maçta 13 gol atarak 5 galibiyet, 0 gol yendi; golcü formda",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 13 günde 5 maç (PL, UEL, Carabao) yoğunluk; yorgunluk ve rotasyon riski",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}