{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-bayer-04-leverkusen-olympique-de-marseille",
 "competition": "UEFA Avrupa Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/131.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Olympique de Marseille",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/176.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T18:29:26Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0945,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.6871,
   "draw": 0.1784,
   "away": 0.1345
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 2.49,
   "away": 1.036
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.0945
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6839,
   "btts": 0.5954,
   "home_scores": 0.9171,
   "away_scores": 0.6451,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.515
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0332,
    0.0267,
    0.0158,
    0.0055,
    0.0014,
    0.0003
   ],
   [
    0.0695,
    0.0797,
    0.0393,
    0.0136,
    0.0035,
    0.0007
   ],
   [
    0.0912,
    0.0945,
    0.049,
    0.0169,
    0.0044,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.0757,
    0.0784,
    0.0406,
    0.014,
    0.0036,
    0.0008
   ],
   [
    0.0471,
    0.0488,
    0.0253,
    0.0087,
    0.0023,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    0.0235,
    0.0243,
    0.0126,
    0.0043,
    0.0011,
    0.0002
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.6871,
  "level": "high",
  "level_tr": "yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.661,
  "band": [
   0.6,
   0.7
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Leverkusen yoğun fikstür ve ev form düşüşüyle; Marseille deplasman yorgunluğu ve Avrupa Ligi zayıflığıyla maça giriyor. Her iki takımdaki transfer spekülasyonları odaklanmayı etkileyebilir.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:47:33Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 3 ev maçında 2 yenilgi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "ESPN"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "13 günde 5 maç yorgunluk riski",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "ESPN"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Avrupa Ligi deplasmanında 2 yenilgi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "ESPN"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Lig 1'de 3 ardışık galibiyet",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "ESPN"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "17 günde 5 maç ve deplasman seyahati",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "ESPN"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}