{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-botafogo-atletico-mineiro",
 "competition": "Brasileirão Série A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T00:30:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Botafogo",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/6086.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Atlético Mineiro",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/7632.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-03T05:17:25Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0967,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4973,
   "draw": 0.2537,
   "away": 0.2489
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.674,
   "away": 1.12
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1204
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5291,
   "btts": 0.5531,
   "home_scores": 0.8125,
   "away_scores": 0.6737,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3707
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0669,
    0.0628,
    0.0384,
    0.0143,
    0.004,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.0967,
    0.1204,
    0.0642,
    0.024,
    0.0067,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    0.0857,
    0.096,
    0.0538,
    0.0201,
    0.0056,
    0.0013
   ],
   [
    0.0478,
    0.0536,
    0.03,
    0.0112,
    0.0031,
    0.0007
   ],
   [
    0.02,
    0.0224,
    0.0126,
    0.0047,
    0.0013,
    0.0003
   ],
   [
    0.0067,
    0.0075,
    0.0042,
    0.0016,
    0.0004,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4973,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Her iki takım da kötü formda; Botafogo sakatlık ve kadro sorunu yaşıyor, Atlético ise yoğun fikstür ve deplasman yorgunluğu ile mücadele ediyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-03T05:14:37Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 3 yenilgi, son maçta 2-1 mağlubiyet",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-29 22:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Danilo sakatlıktan dönüyor, ayrı antrenman yapıyor",
    "source": "ge",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 15:33"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Tite baskısı altındayken takım da kötü dönem yaşıyor",
    "source": "LANCE!",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 19:39"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "squad",
    "category_tr": "Kadro",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Sözleşme maddesi nedeniyle önemli oyuncu oynayamayabilir",
    "source": "Revista PLACAR",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 12:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fans",
    "category_tr": "Taraftar",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Organize taraftar protesto ediyor, iyileşme talep ediyor",
    "source": "LANCE!",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 18:05"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Grêmio maçından 4 gün sonra deplasmanda ikinci maç",
    "source": "Estadão",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 21:04"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 4 yenilgi, Kupada da ev sahibi mağlup",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 23:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "squad",
    "category_tr": "Kadro",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Hücumda sorunlar var, olası kadroda eksiklikler",
    "source": "iG Esportes",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 23:42"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Teknik direktör Botafogo maçı için değişiklik planlıyor",
    "source": "Bolavip Brasil",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 20:25"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Negatif rekor, Libertadores şansları ciddi düştü",
    "source": "LANCE!",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 16:49"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}