{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-crystal-palace-tsg-1899-hoffenheim",
 "competition": "UEFA Avrupa Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Crystal Palace",
  "logo": null
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim",
  "logo": null
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T17:46:32Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.095,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4975,
   "draw": 0.2361,
   "away": 0.2664
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.866,
   "away": 1.32
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1069
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6172,
   "btts": 0.6246,
   "home_scores": 0.8453,
   "away_scores": 0.7329,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3806
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0464,
    0.0495,
    0.036,
    0.0158,
    0.0052,
    0.0014
   ],
   [
    0.072,
    0.1069,
    0.0672,
    0.0296,
    0.0098,
    0.0026
   ],
   [
    0.072,
    0.095,
    0.0627,
    0.0276,
    0.0091,
    0.0024
   ],
   [
    0.0448,
    0.0591,
    0.039,
    0.0172,
    0.0057,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    0.0209,
    0.0276,
    0.0182,
    0.008,
    0.0026,
    0.0007
   ],
   [
    0.0078,
    0.0103,
    0.0068,
    0.003,
    0.001,
    0.0003
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4975,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Palace Sarr sakatlığı ve kırmızı kartla zayıflıyor; Hoffenheim yoğun fikstür ve seyahatle avantaj kaybediyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:45:35Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "İsmaïla Sarr haftalarca saha dışı",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-29 16:55"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "suspension",
    "category_tr": "Ceza",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Kırmızı kart cezası olabilir",
    "source": "London Evening Standard",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 17:55"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Dean Henderson sakatlıktan dönüyor",
    "source": "The Athletic",
    "published_at": "2026-10-27 13:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son maçta Tottenham'a 0-2 kaybetti",
    "source": "The False 9",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 20:50"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "6 günde 3 maç yoğunluğu",
    "source": "BeSoccer Livescore",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 15:44"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Yoğunluk rotasyona zorlayabilir",
    "source": "YSscores",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 13:31"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "other",
    "category_tr": "Diğer",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Pazar maçından sonra uzun yolculuk",
    "source": "Goal.com",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 17:08"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}