{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-lillestr-m-fc-viktoria-plze",
 "competition": "UEFA Avrupa Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Lillestrøm",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/987.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "FC Viktoria Plzeň",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/11706.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T17:47:13Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0891,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.33,
   "draw": 0.2449,
   "away": 0.4252
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.47,
   "away": 1.692
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1106
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6121,
   "btts": 0.6335,
   "home_scores": 0.7701,
   "away_scores": 0.8158,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.2748
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0476,
    0.0664,
    0.0606,
    0.0342,
    0.0145,
    0.0049
   ],
   [
    0.057,
    0.1106,
    0.0891,
    0.0502,
    0.0213,
    0.0072
   ],
   [
    0.0457,
    0.0774,
    0.0655,
    0.0369,
    0.0156,
    0.0053
   ],
   [
    0.0224,
    0.0379,
    0.0321,
    0.0181,
    0.0077,
    0.0026
   ],
   [
    0.0082,
    0.0139,
    0.0118,
    0.0067,
    0.0028,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    0.0024,
    0.0041,
    0.0035,
    0.002,
    0.0008,
    0.0003
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.4252,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Lillestrøm yoğun fikstür ve ağır yenilgi sonrası toparlanıyor; Plzeň kötü Avrupa formu ve yerel maç yorgunluğu ile geliyor. Her iki takımdaki olumsuz faktörler gol beklentilerini hafifçe düşürebilir.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:46:02Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 17 günde 5 maç, yorgunluk riski",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 17:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Real Sociedad'e 6-0 yenilgi moralı etkiledi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 17:45"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Avrupa Liginde son 4 maçta 3 yenilgi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 17:45"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "1 Kasım Banik Ostrava maçı yorgunluk yaratabilir",
    "source": "YSscores",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 07:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}