{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-mh-hapoel-be-er-sheva-ofi",
 "competition": "UEFA Avrupa Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/13083.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "OFI",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/1010.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T17:50:20Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0954,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4526,
   "draw": 0.2636,
   "away": 0.2838
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.548,
   "away": 1.178
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1254
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5127,
   "btts": 0.5509,
   "home_scores": 0.7873,
   "away_scores": 0.6921,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.341
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0715,
    0.0712,
    0.0454,
    0.0178,
    0.0053,
    0.0012
   ],
   [
    0.0954,
    0.1254,
    0.0703,
    0.0276,
    0.0081,
    0.0019
   ],
   [
    0.0785,
    0.0924,
    0.0544,
    0.0214,
    0.0063,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    0.0405,
    0.0477,
    0.0281,
    0.011,
    0.0032,
    0.0008
   ],
   [
    0.0157,
    0.0185,
    0.0109,
    0.0043,
    0.0013,
    0.0003
   ],
   [
    0.0049,
    0.0057,
    0.0034,
    0.0013,
    0.0004,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4526,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Her iki takım da Avrupa formu zayıf; Hapoel evde uzun aradan sonra oynuyor, OFI yoğun fikstür ve seyahat yorgunluğuyla geliyor. Her iki tarafın da gol beklentisi normalin altında.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:48:36Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 4 Avrupa maçında 3 yenilgi, 2 ağır deplasman maglubiyeti",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Ağır maglupler (5-2, 4-0) moralı olumsuz etkileyebilir",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 21 günde 6 maç, yoğun fikstür yorgunluk riski",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "1 Kasım deplasman sonrası 4 günde İsrail seyahati",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Yoğun fikstür rotasyon yapma ihtimali artırır",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Avrupa liginde son 2 maç kaybedildi, ligde 2 galibiyet",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}