{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-nec-as-omonoia-leukosias",
 "competition": "UEFA Avrupa Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "NEC",
  "logo": null
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "AS Omónoia Leukosías",
  "logo": null
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T17:46:51Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0978,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.5275,
   "draw": 0.2388,
   "away": 0.2337
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.84,
   "away": 1.16
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1116
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5768,
   "btts": 0.5828,
   "home_scores": 0.8412,
   "away_scores": 0.6865,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3952
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0551,
    0.0524,
    0.0335,
    0.013,
    0.0038,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.0863,
    0.1116,
    0.0616,
    0.0238,
    0.0069,
    0.0016
   ],
   [
    0.0843,
    0.0978,
    0.0567,
    0.0219,
    0.0064,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    0.0517,
    0.06,
    0.0348,
    0.0134,
    0.0039,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.0238,
    0.0276,
    0.016,
    0.0062,
    0.0018,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.0088,
    0.0102,
    0.0059,
    0.0023,
    0.0007,
    0.0002
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.5275,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "NEC yoğun yerel takvim ve olası sakatlık riskleriyle geliyor; Omónoia hakkında materyelde bilgi yok. Ev sahibi hafif dezavantajlı.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:46:17Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "NEC son haftalarda yoğun Eredivisie programı oynadı (Heerenveen, Excelsior) ve şimdi Avrupa Ligi",
    "source": "BeSoccer Livescore, FotMob, Sports Mole",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 17:39"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}