{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-palmeiras-remo",
 "competition": "Brasileirão Série A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T22:30:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Palmeiras",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/2029.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Remo",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/4936.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-03T05:19:25Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.124,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.8086,
   "draw": 0.1309,
   "away": 0.0604
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 2.77,
   "away": 0.662
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 0,
   "probability": 0.124
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6663,
   "btts": 0.4568,
   "home_scores": 0.9373,
   "away_scores": 0.4842,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.6077
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0353,
    0.0184,
    0.0071,
    0.0016,
    0.0003,
    0.0
   ],
   [
    0.0866,
    0.0622,
    0.0196,
    0.0043,
    0.0007,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.124,
    0.0821,
    0.0272,
    0.006,
    0.001,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.1145,
    0.0758,
    0.0251,
    0.0055,
    0.0009,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0793,
    0.0525,
    0.0174,
    0.0038,
    0.0006,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0439,
    0.0291,
    0.0096,
    0.0021,
    0.0004,
    0.0
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.8086,
  "level": "top",
  "level_tr": "en yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.878,
  "band": [
   0.8,
   1.0
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Palmeiras rotasyon ve yorgunluk riskiyle xG düşebilir; Remo kaldırma mücadelesi motivasyonuyla performans artırabilir.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-03T05:17:01Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 15 günde 5 maç, yorgunluk ve sakatlık riski artıyor",
    "source": "Terra",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 17:27"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Abel Ferreira Copa do Brasil önceliğiyle rotasyon yapabilir",
    "source": "ESPN Brasil",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 17:32"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "suspension",
    "category_tr": "Ceza",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Üç başlıklı sarı kart riski (pendurado), sonraki maç için ceza olabilir",
    "source": "Palmeiras Online",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 21:23"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 3 galibiyet, Copa do Brasil yarı final ilk maçını kazandı",
    "source": "Yahoo Sports",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 20:57"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Kaldırma bölgesinden 8 puan fark, her puan hayatî önemde",
    "source": "TV Sim Brasil",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 21:54"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 1 galibiyet (Botafogo deplasman) 3 beraberlik, yenilmezlik serisi",
    "source": "fixture verisi",
    "published_at": "2026-10-29 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Zor deplasman serisi devam ediyor, São Paulo seyahati yorucu",
    "source": "TV Sim Brasil",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 21:54"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "coach",
    "category_tr": "Teknik direktör",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Edson taktiksel analiz vurguladı, takım güvenli ve odaklı",
    "source": "O Liberal",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 20:22"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Botafogo galibiyeti moral verdi, Taliari odaklanma çağırdı",
    "source": "ge",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 18:06"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}