{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-pfk-levski-sofia-jagiellonia-bia-ystok",
 "competition": "UEFA Avrupa Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "PFK Levski Sofia",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/490.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Jagiellonia Białystok",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/11505.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T17:47:57Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.102,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4925,
   "draw": 0.2587,
   "away": 0.2488
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.624,
   "away": 1.088
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1232
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5093,
   "btts": 0.5383,
   "home_scores": 0.8029,
   "away_scores": 0.6631,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3653
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0723,
    0.0664,
    0.0393,
    0.0143,
    0.0039,
    0.0008
   ],
   [
    0.102,
    0.1232,
    0.0638,
    0.0231,
    0.0063,
    0.0014
   ],
   [
    0.0876,
    0.0953,
    0.0518,
    0.0188,
    0.0051,
    0.0011
   ],
   [
    0.0474,
    0.0516,
    0.0281,
    0.0102,
    0.0028,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.0192,
    0.0209,
    0.0114,
    0.0041,
    0.0011,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.0063,
    0.0068,
    0.0037,
    0.0013,
    0.0004,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4925,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Levski Sofia son deplasman galibiyeti ve uzun dinlenme ile avantajli; Jagiellonia yogun fikstur, agir ev yenilgisi ve rotasyon riski ile dezavantajli.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:46:33Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Avrupa Ligi deplasmaninda Viktoria Plzen'e 2-1 galibiyet",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son mactan bu yana 14 gun dinlenme suresi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Europa League deplasman galibiyeti moral artirdi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Evinde Anderlecht'e 3-0 yenilgi, form dususu",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "31 Ekim'de Wieczysta maci oynandi, yorulma riski",
    "source": "UA.NEWS",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 16:22"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Yogun fikstur nedeniyle rotasyon uygulanabilir",
    "source": "UA.NEWS",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 16:22"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Agir yenilgi sonrasi moral bozulmus olabilir",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}