{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-real-sociedad-de-futbol-olympique-lyonnais",
 "competition": "UEFA Avrupa Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Real Sociedad de Fútbol",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/89.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Olympique Lyonnais",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/167.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T17:48:09Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0976,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.5325,
   "draw": 0.2337,
   "away": 0.2338
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.9,
   "away": 1.198
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1079
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5984,
   "btts": 0.5989,
   "home_scores": 0.8504,
   "away_scores": 0.6982,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.4008
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0503,
    0.0489,
    0.0324,
    0.0129,
    0.0039,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.0806,
    0.1079,
    0.0615,
    0.0246,
    0.0074,
    0.0018
   ],
   [
    0.0815,
    0.0976,
    0.0585,
    0.0233,
    0.007,
    0.0017
   ],
   [
    0.0516,
    0.0618,
    0.037,
    0.0148,
    0.0044,
    0.0011
   ],
   [
    0.0245,
    0.0294,
    0.0176,
    0.007,
    0.0021,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    0.0093,
    0.0112,
    0.0067,
    0.0027,
    0.0008,
    0.0002
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.5325,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Real Sociedad evinde yorgunluk ve son mağlubiyetle mücadele ederken, Lyon üç orta saha sakatlığı, yoğun fikstür ve kötü formla maça giriyor. Her iki takımda rotasyon olasılığı yüksek.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:46:52Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 17 günde 5 maç oynandı, yorgunluk riski var",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son maçta deplasmanda Athletic'e 2-1 yenildi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Fonseca üç orta saha oyuncusunun sakatlığını onayladı",
    "source": "Get French Football News",
    "published_at": "2026-10-27 14:53"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 17 günde 5 maç, yorgunluk ve sakatlık riski artıyor",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 2 yenilgi (Hoffenheim, PSG) sonrası Angers'e galibiyet",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}