{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-sao-paulo-corinthians",
 "competition": "Brasileirão Série A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T00:30:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "São Paulo",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/2026.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Corinthians",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/874.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-03T05:15:56Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.1284,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.415,
   "draw": 0.3,
   "away": 0.2849
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.238,
   "away": 0.978
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1386
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.3816,
   "btts": 0.4496,
   "home_scores": 0.71,
   "away_scores": 0.6239,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3024
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.1156,
    0.1,
    0.0521,
    0.017,
    0.0042,
    0.0008
   ],
   [
    0.1284,
    0.1386,
    0.0646,
    0.021,
    0.0051,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    0.0836,
    0.0817,
    0.04,
    0.013,
    0.0032,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.0345,
    0.0337,
    0.0165,
    0.0054,
    0.0013,
    0.0003
   ],
   [
    0.0107,
    0.0104,
    0.0051,
    0.0017,
    0.0004,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0026,
    0.0026,
    0.0013,
    0.0004,
    0.0001,
    0.0
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.415,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "São Paulo iki başlıklı sakatlık ve saha dezavantajıyla zayıflıyor; Corinthians Memphis dönüşüyle güçleniyor ama Matheuzinho kaybı ve teknik belirsizlik var.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-03T05:14:37Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Marcos Antônio sakatlığı nedeniyle kadroda yok",
    "source": "UOL",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 01:21"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Sabino diz cerrahisiyle sezon sonu dışarıda",
    "source": "LANCE!",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 20:24"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Takım küme düşme bölgesinde, derbi motivasyonu yüksek",
    "source": "Gazeta Esportiva",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 10:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "other",
    "category_tr": "Diğer",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Maç Vila Belmiro'da, ev sahibi avantajı azalır",
    "source": "Instagram",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 18:26"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "club_management",
    "category_tr": "Yönetim",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Yeni başkan Savino sakatlığıyla savunma krizinde",
    "source": "Portal ABC do ABC",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 15:20"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "suspension",
    "category_tr": "Ceza",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Matheuzinho üçüncü sarı kartıyla cezalı",
    "source": "ge",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 01:04"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "squad",
    "category_tr": "Kadro",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Memphis Depay sakatlık sonrası kadroda dönüş",
    "source": "Estadão",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 18:47"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Küme düşme tehlikesiyle derbi motivasiyonu artık",
    "source": "Goal.com",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 07:50"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "coach",
    "category_tr": "Teknik direktör",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Seedorf teknik alanda olma durumu belirsiz",
    "source": "tmc.com.br",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 21:57"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}