{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-05-sport-lisboa-e-benfica-lech-poznan",
 "competition": "UEFA Avrupa Ligi",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Sport Lisboa e Benfica",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/1929.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Lech Poznan",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/2990.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-02T18:29:26Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0997,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.8465,
   "draw": 0.1039,
   "away": 0.0496
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 3.22,
   "away": 0.732
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 3,
   "away": 0,
   "probability": 0.107
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.7547,
   "btts": 0.5006,
   "home_scores": 0.96,
   "away_scores": 0.5191,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.6543
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0215,
    0.0118,
    0.0052,
    0.0013,
    0.0002,
    0.0
   ],
   [
    0.0596,
    0.0476,
    0.0166,
    0.004,
    0.0007,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0997,
    0.073,
    0.0267,
    0.0065,
    0.0012,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.107,
    0.0783,
    0.0287,
    0.007,
    0.0013,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.0861,
    0.063,
    0.0231,
    0.0056,
    0.001,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.0555,
    0.0406,
    0.0149,
    0.0036,
    0.0007,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.8465,
  "level": "top",
  "level_tr": "en yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.878,
  "band": [
   0.8,
   1.0
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Benfica iyi formda ve dinlenmiş; Lech Poznan kötü formda, yoğun fikstür ve düşük moralle geliyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-02T17:49:14Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 4 galibiyet, gol atma gücü yüksek",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-26 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son maçtan beri 10 gün dinlenme süresi var",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-26 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Avrupa Liginde 2 ağır yenilgi, 1 beraberlik, forma kötü",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "14 günde 3 maç (Sunderland, Górnik, Benfica)",
    "source": "Ekstraklasa",
    "published_at": "2026-10-29 22:07"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Arka arkaya 4-0 yenilgilerle moral düşük",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}