{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-06-gaziantep-kasimpasa",
 "competition": "Trendyol Süper Lig",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-06T17:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Gaziantep",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/20070.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Kasımpaşa",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/6870.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-04T05:15:02Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.1335,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.3751,
   "draw": 0.2801,
   "away": 0.3448
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.302,
   "away": 1.238
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1335
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.4664,
   "btts": 0.5233,
   "home_scores": 0.728,
   "away_scores": 0.71,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.2882
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0852,
    0.0913,
    0.0604,
    0.0249,
    0.0077,
    0.0019
   ],
   [
    0.0963,
    0.1335,
    0.0787,
    0.0325,
    0.0101,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    0.0668,
    0.0828,
    0.0512,
    0.0211,
    0.0065,
    0.0016
   ],
   [
    0.029,
    0.0359,
    0.0222,
    0.0092,
    0.0028,
    0.0007
   ],
   [
    0.0094,
    0.0117,
    0.0072,
    0.003,
    0.0009,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.0025,
    0.003,
    0.0019,
    0.0008,
    0.0002,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.3751,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Gaziantep 5 ardışık mağlubiyetle derin krizde, ev sahibi olsa bile moral ve form eksikliği belirgin. Kasımpaşa son 3 ligde yenilmez, deplasmanda da gol atıyor; psijik üstünlük ve form farkı misafir lehine.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-04T05:14:28Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Üst üste 5 lig mağlubiyeti, son 5 maçta 11 gol yendi, 2 gol attı",
    "source": "Son Dakika",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 12:46"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Kriz atmosferi, 'kader maçı' tanımıyla basın baskısı ve güven kaybı",
    "source": "Gaziantep Doğuş",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 14:10"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Sorescu'dan 'kırılma maçı' sözü, takımdan tepki beklentisi",
    "source": "Gaziantep Doğuş",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 14:40"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 3 ligde 2 galibiyet 1 beraberlik, deplasmanda Eyüpspor'u yendi",
    "source": "beIN SPORTS",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 18:40"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Beşiktaş'a 87. dakikada gol yiyip berabere kaldı, karakter gösterdi",
    "source": "Ekonomim",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 18:01"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "coach",
    "category_tr": "Teknik direktör",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Vincenzo Italiano kadro durumu açıkladı, istikrarlı yönetim",
    "source": "Bölge Gündemi",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 17:47"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}