{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-06-sevilla-alaves",
 "competition": "La Liga",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Sevilla",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/243.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Alavés",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/96.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-04T05:18:26Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.1379,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4926,
   "draw": 0.2835,
   "away": 0.2239
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.418,
   "away": 0.868
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0,
   "probability": 0.1379
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.4002,
   "btts": 0.4459,
   "home_scores": 0.7578,
   "away_scores": 0.5802,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3517
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.1079,
    0.082,
    0.0383,
    0.0111,
    0.0024,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.1379,
    0.1314,
    0.0543,
    0.0157,
    0.0034,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.1022,
    0.0887,
    0.0385,
    0.0111,
    0.0024,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.0483,
    0.0419,
    0.0182,
    0.0053,
    0.0011,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.0171,
    0.0149,
    0.0065,
    0.0019,
    0.0004,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0049,
    0.0042,
    0.0018,
    0.0005,
    0.0001,
    0.0
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4926,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Sevilla Peque ve muhtemelen Isaac Romero'suz, yoğun fikstürle yorgun; Alavés kötü formda ama kudret mücadelesi ve ekstra dinlenme ile. Ev sahibi avantajı azaldı, her iki takım da normalin altında gol beklentisi.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-04T05:17:32Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Peque kas sakatlığıyla bir ay outside, yaratıcı orta saha eksikliği",
    "source": "Diario AS",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 10:58"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "8 günde 3 maç (Kupa, Getafe, Alavés) yorgunluk riski",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-06 20:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 3 ligde 2 yenilgi (Real Madrid 4-1, Getafe 3-1)",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-06 20:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "İsaac Romero diz contüzyonu, maç için şüpheli durumda",
    "source": "ABC",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 13:32"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Ağır yenilgiler güven eritti, ev sahibi avantajı zayıfladı",
    "source": "Estadio Deportivo",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 17:31"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 ligde 4 yenilgi (Barcelona'ya 6-1), savunma çöküntüsü",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-06 20:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Kudret çizgisi 2 puan üstünde, kurtuluş mücadelesi motivasyonu",
    "source": "Diario de Noticias de Álava",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 15:19"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Barcelona'ya 6-1 yenilgi psikolojik etkisi, dış sahada zayıf",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-06 20:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Kupa maçı ertelendi, ekstra dinlenme ve hazırlık süresi",
    "source": "ABC",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 13:16"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}