{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-06-toulouse-strasbourg",
 "competition": "Ligue 1",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-06T19:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Toulouse",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/179.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Strasbourg",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/180.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-04T05:17:31Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0937,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4676,
   "draw": 0.2462,
   "away": 0.2862
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.732,
   "away": 1.314
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1136
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.587,
   "btts": 0.6073,
   "home_scores": 0.8231,
   "away_scores": 0.7313,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3585
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.053,
    0.0571,
    0.041,
    0.018,
    0.0059,
    0.0016
   ],
   [
    0.0769,
    0.1136,
    0.0711,
    0.0311,
    0.0102,
    0.0027
   ],
   [
    0.0713,
    0.0937,
    0.0616,
    0.027,
    0.0089,
    0.0023
   ],
   [
    0.0412,
    0.0541,
    0.0355,
    0.0156,
    0.0051,
    0.0013
   ],
   [
    0.0178,
    0.0234,
    0.0154,
    0.0067,
    0.0022,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.0062,
    0.0081,
    0.0053,
    0.0023,
    0.0008,
    0.0002
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4676,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Toulouse evinde taraftar ve form sorunları yaşıyor; Strasbourg büyük zafer ve oyuncu dönüşleriyle moral yüksek.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-04T05:14:28Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 3 lig maçta 1 galibiyet, son deplasmanda Marsilya'ya 2-0 yenilgi",
    "source": "OneFootball",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 22:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fans",
    "category_tr": "Taraftar",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Destekçiler için değişiklikler rapor edildi, ev avantajını azaltabilir",
    "source": "L'Opinion Indépendante",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 12:37"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "4 mağlubiyet sonrası Auxerre'ye 5-1 galibiyet, moral büyük artış",
    "source": "Racing Club de Strasbourg Alsace",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 22:16"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Martial Godo sakatlıkdan döndü, kadro derinliği arttı",
    "source": "Alsa'Sports",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 15:09"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Gessime Yassine son maçta iki gol attı, şut formu iyi",
    "source": "Yabiladi.com",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 09:11"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}