{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-06-vitoria-fluminense",
 "competition": "Brasileirão Série A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-06T23:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Vitória",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/3457.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Fluminense",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/3445.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-04T05:20:38Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.1368,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.3383,
   "draw": 0.2886,
   "away": 0.3731
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.17,
   "away": 1.242
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1368
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.4334,
   "btts": 0.497,
   "home_scores": 0.6896,
   "away_scores": 0.7112,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.262
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0961,
    0.1048,
    0.0691,
    0.0286,
    0.0089,
    0.0022
   ],
   [
    0.0984,
    0.1368,
    0.0809,
    0.0335,
    0.0104,
    0.0026
   ],
   [
    0.0614,
    0.0762,
    0.0473,
    0.0196,
    0.0061,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    0.0239,
    0.0297,
    0.0185,
    0.0076,
    0.0024,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.007,
    0.0087,
    0.0054,
    0.0022,
    0.0007,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.0016,
    0.002,
    0.0013,
    0.0005,
    0.0002,
    0.0
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.3731,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Vitória teknik direktör değişikliği ve cezalı stoperle zayıflamış; Fluminense rotasyon, sakatlık ve ceza riski taşıyor ancak ilk 4 motivasyonu yüksek. Ev sahibi düşüş tehlikesi, deplasman takımı Avrupa ligi hedefiyle.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-04T05:18:26Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "suspension",
    "category_tr": "Ceza",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Stoper Emanuel Britez 3. sarı kartıyla cezalı",
    "source": "NETFLU",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 16:43"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "coach",
    "category_tr": "Teknik direktör",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Teknik direktör Jair Ventura kovuldu, belirsizlik",
    "source": "OneFootball",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 21:50"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 lig maçında 1 galibiyet, form kötü",
    "source": "ge",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 07:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Dudu ciddi sakatlık, kadro derinliği azaldı",
    "source": "Bahia Notícias",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 21:17"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "squad",
    "category_tr": "Kadro",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Yeni oyuncular kadroya katıldı, derinlik arttı",
    "source": "deolhonacidade.net",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 11:10"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Defans oyuncusu sakat, arka hat zayıflıyor",
    "source": "GE",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 18:19"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "İlk 4 hedefi için motivasyon çok yüksek",
    "source": "OneFootball",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 12:27"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Takımda rotasyon bekleniyor, uyum bozulabilir",
    "source": "ge",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 21:43"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "suspension",
    "category_tr": "Ceza",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "10 oyuncu ceza riski, temkinli oynayabilir",
    "source": "LANCE!",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 17:32"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "coach",
    "category_tr": "Teknik direktör",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Teknik direktör geleceği belirsiz, odaklanma etkilenebilir",
    "source": "ge",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 07:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}