{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-auxerre-paris",
 "competition": "Ligue 1",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T16:15:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Auxerre",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/172.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Paris",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/6851.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:26:29Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0985,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.2149,
   "draw": 0.2398,
   "away": 0.5453
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.068,
   "away": 1.824
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1135
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5522,
   "btts": 0.5558,
   "home_scores": 0.6563,
   "away_scores": 0.8386,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.195
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0609,
    0.0958,
    0.0923,
    0.0561,
    0.0256,
    0.0093
   ],
   [
    0.0538,
    0.1135,
    0.0985,
    0.0599,
    0.0273,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    0.0316,
    0.0577,
    0.0526,
    0.032,
    0.0146,
    0.0053
   ],
   [
    0.0113,
    0.0205,
    0.0187,
    0.0114,
    0.0052,
    0.0019
   ],
   [
    0.003,
    0.0055,
    0.005,
    0.003,
    0.0014,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    0.0006,
    0.0012,
    0.0011,
    0.0006,
    0.0003,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.5453,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Auxerre sakatlık dönüşleriyle güçlenirken ağır yenilgi morali düşürüyor. Paris FC deplasman formu zayıf, gol beklentisi hafif düşük.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:23:45Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Marvin Senaya sakatlıkdan dönüş yaptı, son maçta oynadı.",
    "source": "Asaase Radio",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 18:05"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Strasbourg deplasmanında 5-1 yenilgi, moral etkilenmiş olabilir.",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Rémy Labeau Lascary kolektif antrenmana döndü.",
    "source": "L'Yonne Républicaine",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 12:25"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Deplasmanda son iki maç kaybedildi, dış sahada form zayıf.",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}