{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-cagliari-frosinone-calcio",
 "competition": "Serie A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Cagliari",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/2925.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Frosinone Calcio",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/4057.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:16:37Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 2
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0859,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.3568,
   "draw": 0.2563,
   "away": 0.3869
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.444,
   "away": 1.512
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1193
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5669,
   "btts": 0.6013,
   "home_scores": 0.764,
   "away_scores": 0.7795,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.2873
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0577,
    0.073,
    0.0595,
    0.03,
    0.0113,
    0.0034
   ],
   [
    0.0694,
    0.1193,
    0.0859,
    0.0433,
    0.0164,
    0.0049
   ],
   [
    0.0542,
    0.082,
    0.062,
    0.0312,
    0.0118,
    0.0036
   ],
   [
    0.0261,
    0.0395,
    0.0298,
    0.015,
    0.0057,
    0.0017
   ],
   [
    0.0094,
    0.0143,
    0.0108,
    0.0054,
    0.0021,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.0027,
    0.0041,
    0.0031,
    0.0016,
    0.0006,
    0.0002
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.3869,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Cagliari sakatlıklar ve kötü formla zorlanıyor; Frosinone Raimondo kaybına rağmen iyi formda.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:15:31Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Fadera upperleg sakatlığı ile maçtan dışarıda",
    "source": "La Gazzetta dello Sport",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 21:41"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 4 yenilgi, form düşük",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Nzola yorgunluk şikayeti, oynama riskli",
    "source": "Fantacalcio",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 20:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Yenilgi serisi moral bozuyor",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Raimondo çok bağlantılı ayak bileği sakatlığı, dışarıda",
    "source": "SOS Fanta",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 13:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 3 galibiyet 1 beraberlik",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Galibiyet serisi moral yüksek",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}