{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-espanyol-rc-deportivo-a-coruna",
 "competition": "La Liga",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:15:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Espanyol",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/88.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "RC Deportivo A Coruña",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/90.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:25:57Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.1204,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4127,
   "draw": 0.2937,
   "away": 0.2936
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.274,
   "away": 1.032
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1376
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.4056,
   "btts": 0.4702,
   "home_scores": 0.7203,
   "away_scores": 0.6437,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.304
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.1062,
    0.0963,
    0.0531,
    0.0183,
    0.0047,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    0.1204,
    0.1376,
    0.0676,
    0.0233,
    0.006,
    0.0012
   ],
   [
    0.0809,
    0.0835,
    0.0431,
    0.0148,
    0.0038,
    0.0008
   ],
   [
    0.0343,
    0.0354,
    0.0183,
    0.0063,
    0.0016,
    0.0003
   ],
   [
    0.0109,
    0.0113,
    0.0058,
    0.002,
    0.0005,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0028,
    0.0029,
    0.0015,
    0.0005,
    0.0001,
    0.0
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4127,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Espanyol yeni hoca Sarabia ile krizi atlatmaya çalışırken sakatlıklar ve kötü formla boğuşuyor. Deportivo ise iki galibiyetle moral yüksek, deplasmanda sürpriz hedefliyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:21:04Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 3 yenilgi, 1 beraberlik, 1 galibiyet",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 18:50"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "coach",
    "category_tr": "Teknik direktör",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Yeni teknik direktör Sarabia ilk antrenmanı yönetti",
    "source": "FútbolFantasy",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 13:12"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Krizi ve belirsizlikler içinde, ağırlıklı yenilgiler",
    "source": "Libertad Digital",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 18:01"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Cala, Urko, Riedel, Gorosabel sakatlıkla dışarıda",
    "source": "Sport Aragón",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 12:16"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son iki maçta galibiyet, moral yükseldi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 11:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Riazor'da ihtiyaç duyulan puanlar için mücadele",
    "source": "Notimérica",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 13:21"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "İki üst üste galibiyetle güven arttı",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 11:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}