{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-eyupspor-kocaelispor",
 "competition": "Trendyol Süper Lig",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T10:30:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Eyüpspor",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/20729.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Kocaelispor",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/995.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:14:54Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 0,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.1329,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.2427,
   "draw": 0.2872,
   "away": 0.47
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 0.914,
   "away": 1.378
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1337
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.4018,
   "btts": 0.4544,
   "home_scores": 0.5991,
   "away_scores": 0.7479,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.1993
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.1074,
    0.1329,
    0.096,
    0.0441,
    0.0152,
    0.0042
   ],
   [
    0.086,
    0.1337,
    0.0877,
    0.0403,
    0.0139,
    0.0038
   ],
   [
    0.0422,
    0.0582,
    0.0401,
    0.0184,
    0.0063,
    0.0017
   ],
   [
    0.0129,
    0.0177,
    0.0122,
    0.0056,
    0.0019,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    0.0029,
    0.004,
    0.0028,
    0.0013,
    0.0004,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0005,
    0.0007,
    0.0005,
    0.0002,
    0.0001,
    0.0
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.47,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Eyüpspor berbat form, yorulma ve krizle maça giriyor; Kocaelispor 3 eksik ve 2 ceza riski taşıyor ama daha dinli ve istikrarlı.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:14:09Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 lig maçta 20 gol yiyerek 5 yenilgi, savunma çöküşü",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 10:20"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "4 Kasım Turkish Cup maçı (Fethiyespor) yorulma riski",
    "source": "Çağdaş Kocaeli Gazetesi",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 12:32"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Basın 'alarm zilleri çalıyor' diye kriz vurgusu yapıyor",
    "source": "Kocaeli Halk Gazetesi",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 12:15"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "other",
    "category_tr": "Diğer",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Korner/serbest vuruş gol yeme eğilimi istatistikte ortaya çıktı",
    "source": "FotMob",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 08:37"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "squad",
    "category_tr": "Kadro",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Eyüpspor maçı öncesi 3 futbolcu eksik (sakat/ceza)",
    "source": "Kocaeli Fikir",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 17:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "suspension",
    "category_tr": "Ceza",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Susoho ve Emir Ortakaya sarı kart sınırında, riskli",
    "source": "Kocaeli Denge",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 14:44"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 2 galibiyet 1 beraberlik 2 yenilgi, rakibe göre iyi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 10:20"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "1 Kasım izin günü, 2 Kasım erken hazırlık başlangıcı avantajı",
    "source": "Bugün Kocaeli Gazetesi",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 13:53"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}