{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-forest-man-city",
 "competition": "Premier League",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T17:30:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Forest",
  "logo": null
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Man City",
  "logo": null
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:26:37Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 0,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.1013,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.1959,
   "draw": 0.2361,
   "away": 0.568
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.002,
   "away": 1.854
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1122
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5438,
   "btts": 0.5391,
   "home_scores": 0.6329,
   "away_scores": 0.8434,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.1815
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0628,
    0.1013,
    0.0988,
    0.0611,
    0.0283,
    0.0105
   ],
   [
    0.0523,
    0.1122,
    0.099,
    0.0612,
    0.0284,
    0.0105
   ],
   [
    0.0289,
    0.0535,
    0.0496,
    0.0307,
    0.0142,
    0.0053
   ],
   [
    0.0096,
    0.0179,
    0.0166,
    0.0102,
    0.0047,
    0.0018
   ],
   [
    0.0024,
    0.0045,
    0.0042,
    0.0026,
    0.0012,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.0005,
    0.0009,
    0.0008,
    0.0005,
    0.0002,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.568,
  "level": "medium_high",
  "level_tr": "orta-yüksek",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.606,
  "band": [
   0.55,
   0.6
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Forest sakatlık ve moral sorunları yaşıyor; City yoğun fikstür, rotasyon, sakatlıklar ve kulüp krizi ile mücadele ediyor. Her iki takımdan da normalden düşük performans bekleniyor, City daha çok etkileniyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:25:42Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Semenyo 8 hafta sakat, Savona ve diğerleri şüpheli",
    "source": "The False 9",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 17:52"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Glasner eleştiriliyor, takım morali düşük olabilir",
    "source": "Football Insider",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 16:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Sangare başlangıç on birinde, Anderson sahaya dönüyor",
    "source": "Football Insider",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 17:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "UCL deplasman sonrası 3 gün dinlenme, seyahat yorgunluğu",
    "source": "Sky Sports",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 18:26"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "club_management",
    "category_tr": "Yönetim",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "115 suçlama ve potansiyel puan kesintisi kriz yaratıyor",
    "source": "Daily Express",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 17:19"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Maresca yoğun fikstürde geniş rotasyon uygulayabilir",
    "source": "Premier League",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 14:58"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "7 oyuncu sakat, Haaland ve diğerleri şüpheli",
    "source": "Manchester Evening News",
    "published_at": "2026-10-30 19:54"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}