{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-galatasaray-amed-sportif",
 "competition": "Trendyol Süper Lig",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T16:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Galatasaray",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/432.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Amed Sportif",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/132335.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:25:41Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0945,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.6884,
   "draw": 0.1781,
   "away": 0.1335
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 2.49,
   "away": 1.03
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.0945
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6828,
   "btts": 0.5935,
   "home_scores": 0.9171,
   "away_scores": 0.643,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.5158
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0334,
    0.0267,
    0.0157,
    0.0054,
    0.0014,
    0.0003
   ],
   [
    0.0699,
    0.0797,
    0.0391,
    0.0134,
    0.0035,
    0.0007
   ],
   [
    0.0918,
    0.0945,
    0.0487,
    0.0167,
    0.0043,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.0762,
    0.0785,
    0.0404,
    0.0139,
    0.0036,
    0.0007
   ],
   [
    0.0474,
    0.0488,
    0.0252,
    0.0086,
    0.0022,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    0.0236,
    0.0243,
    0.0125,
    0.0043,
    0.0011,
    0.0002
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.6884,
  "level": "high",
  "level_tr": "yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.661,
  "band": [
   0.6,
   0.7
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Galatasaray yoğun fikstür ve rotasyon riski taşıyor; Amed Sportif iyi form, dinlenme avantajı ve yüksek motivasyonla geliyor.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:22:31Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 5 galibiyet, Fenerbahçe ve Lille yenildi",
    "source": "Yahoo Sports",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 19:48"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Şampiyonlar Ligi maçından 4 gün sonra lig maçı, rotasyon riski",
    "source": "fixture list",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 16:37"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Batrakov Stuttgart karşısında şov yaptı, formda",
    "source": "beinsports.com.tr",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 16:39"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Osimhen sakatlık endişesi, Stuttgart maçında oynadı ama yönetilebilir",
    "source": "Afrik-Foot",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 14:05"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son maç 1 Kasım, 6 gün dinlenme; rakip 4 gün",
    "source": "fixture list",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 20:16"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 lig maçında 4 galibiyet 1 beraberlik, Eyüpspor'a 5-1",
    "source": "beinsports.com.tr",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 20:16"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Başkan 'eksik görmüyoruz', en az 1 puan hedefliyor",
    "source": "Fanatik",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 14:19"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Deplasmanda Samsunspor yenildi, Gençlerbirliği'nde berabere",
    "source": "fixture list",
    "published_at": "2026-10-24 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": {
  "tr": {
   "url": "/videos/2026-11-07-galatasaray-amed-sportif-tr.mp4",
   "prediction_updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:25:41Z"
  }
 },
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}