{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-goztepe-basaksehir",
 "competition": "Trendyol Süper Lig",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T16:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Göztepe",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/789.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Başakşehir",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/7914.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:23:44Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0942,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.4698,
   "draw": 0.255,
   "away": 0.2752
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.644,
   "away": 1.208
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1204
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5428,
   "btts": 0.5715,
   "home_scores": 0.8068,
   "away_scores": 0.7012,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.355
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0635,
    0.064,
    0.0421,
    0.017,
    0.0051,
    0.0012
   ],
   [
    0.0892,
    0.1204,
    0.0692,
    0.0279,
    0.0084,
    0.002
   ],
   [
    0.078,
    0.0942,
    0.0569,
    0.0229,
    0.0069,
    0.0017
   ],
   [
    0.0428,
    0.0516,
    0.0312,
    0.0126,
    0.0038,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.0176,
    0.0212,
    0.0128,
    0.0052,
    0.0016,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.0058,
    0.007,
    0.0042,
    0.0017,
    0.0005,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.4698,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Göztepe 3 sakatlıyla sahaya çıkarken 4 maçlık galibiyet serisiyle yüksek motivasyonda; Başakşehir son ev galibiyetiyle moral iyi ancak deplasman formu zayıf.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:22:31Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 4 maçta galibiyet, Fenerbahçe deplasmanında zafer",
    "source": "Ege Telgraf",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 09:53"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Üç oyuncu eksikliği kadro derinliğini zayıflatıyor",
    "source": "Haber 7",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 20:10"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Fenerbahçe yenilgisi sonrası moral ve motivasyon yüksek",
    "source": "Ege Telgraf",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 09:53"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Deplasmanda son 2 maçta 1 beraberlik 1 mağlubiyet",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-26 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Samsunspor'a 5-2 galibiyetiyle moral yüksek",
    "source": "beinsports.com.tr",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 20:16"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}