{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-malaga-real-racing-club",
 "competition": "La Liga",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T13:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Málaga",
  "logo": null
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Real Racing Club",
  "logo": null
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:16:00Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0891,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.395,
   "draw": 0.2699,
   "away": 0.3351
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.414,
   "away": 1.284
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1284
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.5059,
   "btts": 0.5534,
   "home_scores": 0.7568,
   "away_scores": 0.7231,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.3047
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0735,
    0.0804,
    0.0555,
    0.0238,
    0.0076,
    0.002
   ],
   [
    0.0891,
    0.1284,
    0.0785,
    0.0336,
    0.0108,
    0.0028
   ],
   [
    0.0673,
    0.0864,
    0.0555,
    0.0238,
    0.0076,
    0.002
   ],
   [
    0.0317,
    0.0407,
    0.0262,
    0.0112,
    0.0036,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.0112,
    0.0144,
    0.0092,
    0.004,
    0.0013,
    0.0003
   ],
   [
    0.0032,
    0.0041,
    0.0026,
    0.0011,
    0.0004,
    0.0001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.395,
  "level": "low",
  "level_tr": "düşük",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.409,
  "band": [
   0.0,
   0.45
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Racing, Andrés Martín ve Mantilla sakatlıklarıyla gücü zayıfladı, deplasman formu ligin en kötüsü. Málaga tarihi sezon moralıyla avantajlı.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:14:54Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Takım tarihi bir sezon yaşıyor, moral yüksek",
    "source": "Málaga CF",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 12:04"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Andrés Martín hamstring kırığı, birkaç hafta dışarıda",
    "source": "Real Racing Club",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 12:34"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Álvaro Mantilla çapraz bağ kırığı, sezon sonu",
    "source": "Real Racing Club",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 11:24"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Racing ligin en kötü deplasman takımı olarak değerlendiriliyor",
    "source": "101TV",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 14:25"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Real Madrid'e evde 0-3 mağlupiyet, moral bozulmuş olabilir",
    "source": "Real Racing Club",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 18:54"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}