{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-osasuna-athletic",
 "competition": "La Liga",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T17:30:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Osasuna",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/97.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Athletic",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/93.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:27:14Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 0,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.1117,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.2638,
   "draw": 0.2736,
   "away": 0.4625
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 1.052,
   "away": 1.474
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 1,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1302
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.4628,
   "btts": 0.5079,
   "home_scores": 0.6508,
   "away_scores": 0.771,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.2188
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0862,
    0.1117,
    0.0869,
    0.0427,
    0.0157,
    0.0046
   ],
   [
    0.0779,
    0.1302,
    0.0914,
    0.0449,
    0.0165,
    0.0049
   ],
   [
    0.0443,
    0.0652,
    0.0481,
    0.0236,
    0.0087,
    0.0026
   ],
   [
    0.0155,
    0.0229,
    0.0169,
    0.0083,
    0.0031,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.0041,
    0.006,
    0.0044,
    0.0022,
    0.0008,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.0009,
    0.0013,
    0.0009,
    0.0005,
    0.0002,
    0.0
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.4625,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Osasuna kötü formda ama motivasyon yüksek; Athletic üç forvet sakatlığıyla hücumda zayıf, Sancet/Galarreta dönüşü olumlu.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:25:58Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 lig maçta 3 yenilgi, kötü form",
    "source": "fixture results",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 18:54"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "motivation",
    "category_tr": "Motivasyon",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Gazete 'Kasım finali' vurgusu, motivasyon yüksek",
    "source": "Noticias de Navarra",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 18:51"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Sannadi, Hierro, Guruzeta sakat; üç forvet yok",
    "source": "OneFootball, naiz, Mundo Deportivo",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 22:56"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "squad",
    "category_tr": "Kadro",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Sancet ve Galarreta gruba döndü, oynayabilir",
    "source": "Comuniate, Diario AS",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 10:30"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 3 galibiyet, derbi kazandi",
    "source": "fixture results",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 18:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "morale",
    "category_tr": "Moral",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Real Sociedad derbisini kazanma moral avantajı",
    "source": "fixture results",
    "published_at": "2026-11-01 18:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}