{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-parma-bologna",
 "competition": "Serie A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T17:00:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Parma",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/115.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Bologna",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/107.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:26:37Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 0,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.1383,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.2041,
   "draw": 0.2736,
   "away": 0.5223
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 0.84,
   "away": 1.502
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 0,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.1383
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.4151,
   "btts": 0.4478,
   "home_scores": 0.5683,
   "away_scores": 0.7773,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.1756
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.1022,
    0.1383,
    0.1084,
    0.0543,
    0.0204,
    0.0061
   ],
   [
    0.0747,
    0.1274,
    0.0911,
    0.0456,
    0.0171,
    0.0051
   ],
   [
    0.0339,
    0.0509,
    0.0383,
    0.0192,
    0.0072,
    0.0022
   ],
   [
    0.0095,
    0.0143,
    0.0107,
    0.0054,
    0.002,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.002,
    0.003,
    0.0022,
    0.0011,
    0.0004,
    0.0001
   ],
   [
    0.0003,
    0.0005,
    0.0004,
    0.0002,
    0.0001,
    0.0
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "away",
  "probability": 0.5223,
  "level": "medium",
  "level_tr": "orta",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.484,
  "band": [
   0.45,
   0.55
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Parma kritik sakatlıklar (Drobnic, Bernabé) ve yorgunlukla mücadele ederken Bologna iyi form, dinlenme ve deplasman desteğiyle avantajlı. Derby motivasyonu her iki tarafı da etkiler.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:25:12Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Drobnic fascite plantare ile dışarıda",
    "source": "Fantacalcio",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 16:46"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Bernabé tekrar sakatlık, dönüş belirsiz",
    "source": "SOS Fanta",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 21:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Rakibe göre 2 gün az dinlenme",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 lig maçta 3 yenilgi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fans",
    "category_tr": "Taraftar",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Deplasman taraftarı yoğunluğu ev sahibine karşı",
    "source": "QS Quotidiano Sportivo",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 07:13"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 lig maçta 4 galibiyet",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Piccoli sakatlıktan döndü, kadro adayı",
    "source": "Fantamagazine",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 14:55"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Rakibe göre 2 gün fazla dinlenme",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fans",
    "category_tr": "Taraftar",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Parma'da 3400 Bologna taraftarı bekleniyor",
    "source": "QS Quotidiano Sportivo",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 07:13"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "coach",
    "category_tr": "Teknik direktör",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Palladino yönetiminde takım yükselişte",
    "source": "QS Quotidiano Sportivo",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 07:13"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}