{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-psg-es-troyes-ac",
 "competition": "Ligue 1",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T19:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "PSG",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/160.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "ES Troyes AC",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/170.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:27:07Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 3,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0858,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.873,
   "draw": 0.0831,
   "away": 0.0439
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 3.764,
   "away": 0.878
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 3,
   "away": 0,
   "probability": 0.0858
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.8415,
   "btts": 0.5724,
   "home_scores": 0.9768,
   "away_scores": 0.5844,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.6933
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0113,
    0.0069,
    0.0037,
    0.0011,
    0.0002,
    0.0
   ],
   [
    0.0347,
    0.0335,
    0.014,
    0.0041,
    0.0009,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.0684,
    0.0601,
    0.0264,
    0.0077,
    0.0017,
    0.0003
   ],
   [
    0.0858,
    0.0753,
    0.0331,
    0.0097,
    0.0021,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.0808,
    0.0709,
    0.0311,
    0.0091,
    0.002,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.0608,
    0.0534,
    0.0234,
    0.0069,
    0.0015,
    0.0003
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.873,
  "level": "top",
  "level_tr": "en yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.878,
  "band": [
   0.8,
   1.0
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "PSG kritik sakatlıklar ve yoğun fikstürle rotasyon riski taşıyor; Troyes dinlenmiş ama zayıf formda ve güçlü rakibe karşı dışeride.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:26:38Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Kvaratskhelia sakat, Dembele yok, 4 ana oyuncu eksik",
    "source": "RMC Sport, CANAL+",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 15:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 5 galibiyet, 20 gol atarak zirve formunda",
    "source": "PSG Post, But! Football Club",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 21:56"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "rotation",
    "category_tr": "Rotasyon",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Şampiyonlar Ligi sonrası 4 günde rotasyon riski yüksek",
    "source": "PSG Post, L'Équipe",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 10:39"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 1 galibiyet, Marseille ve Lens'e yenilgi",
    "source": "SportyTrader, L'Est éclair",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 11:11"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son maç 7 gün önce, tam dinlenme avantajı var",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 11:11"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}