{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-roma-sassuolo",
 "competition": "Serie A",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T19:45:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Roma",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/104.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Sassuolo",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/3997.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:29:22Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 0
  },
  "score_probability": 0.09,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.7595,
   "draw": 0.1453,
   "away": 0.0952
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 2.85,
   "away": 0.96
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 0,
   "probability": 0.09
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.7327,
   "btts": 0.5844,
   "home_scores": 0.9421,
   "away_scores": 0.6171,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.5759
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0252,
    0.0182,
    0.0102,
    0.0033,
    0.0008,
    0.0002
   ],
   [
    0.0601,
    0.0636,
    0.0291,
    0.0093,
    0.0022,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.09,
    0.0864,
    0.0415,
    0.0133,
    0.0032,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.0855,
    0.082,
    0.0394,
    0.0126,
    0.003,
    0.0006
   ],
   [
    0.0609,
    0.0585,
    0.0281,
    0.009,
    0.0022,
    0.0004
   ],
   [
    0.0347,
    0.0333,
    0.016,
    0.0051,
    0.0012,
    0.0002
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.7595,
  "level": "very_high",
  "level_tr": "çok yüksek",
  "banko": true,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.78,
  "band": [
   0.7,
   0.8
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Roma sakatlıklar ve yoğun fikstürle mücadele ederken Sassuolo kötü formda; ev sahibi hafif avantajlı.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:26:38Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Rensch sakatlanarak Sassuolo maçını kaçıracak",
    "source": "RomaForever",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 15:01"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Gollini ve Svilar sakat, yedek kaleci oynayabilir",
    "source": "Calciomercato",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 16:54"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 4 lig maçında 3 galibiyet, iyi form",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "squad",
    "category_tr": "Kadro",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Dybala ve Koné maç için dönüş çabalıyor",
    "source": "Voce Giallorossa",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 11:03"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Şampiyonlar Ligi sonrası 4 gün dinlenme süresi",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 4 lig maçında 4 yenilgi, moral düşük",
    "source": "ESPN",
    "published_at": "2026-11-02 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}