{
 "version": "1",
 "id": "2026-11-07-stuttgart-werder",
 "competition": "Bundesliga",
 "round": null,
 "kickoff": "2026-11-07T17:30:00Z",
 "venue": null,
 "home": {
  "name": "Stuttgart",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/134.png"
 },
 "away": {
  "name": "Werder",
  "logo": "https://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/soccer/500/137.png"
 },
 "status": "scheduled",
 "result": null,
 "stage": "publication",
 "updated_at": "2026-11-05T05:26:59Z",
 "prediction": {
  "score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1
  },
  "score_probability": 0.0944,
  "probabilities": {
   "home": 0.5904,
   "draw": 0.2047,
   "away": 0.2049
  },
  "expected_goals": {
   "home": 2.274,
   "away": 1.294
  },
  "most_likely_score": {
   "home": 2,
   "away": 1,
   "probability": 0.0944
  },
  "markets": {
   "over_2_5": 0.6915,
   "btts": 0.6553,
   "home_scores": 0.8971,
   "away_scores": 0.7258,
   "home_leads_at_half_time": 0.449
  },
  "score_matrix_0_5": [
   [
    0.0324,
    0.0324,
    0.0236,
    0.0102,
    0.0033,
    0.0009
   ],
   [
    0.06,
    0.0872,
    0.0537,
    0.0232,
    0.0075,
    0.0019
   ],
   [
    0.0729,
    0.0944,
    0.0611,
    0.0263,
    0.0085,
    0.0022
   ],
   [
    0.0553,
    0.0715,
    0.0463,
    0.02,
    0.0065,
    0.0017
   ],
   [
    0.0314,
    0.0407,
    0.0263,
    0.0114,
    0.0037,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    0.0143,
    0.0185,
    0.012,
    0.0052,
    0.0017,
    0.0004
   ]
  ]
 },
 "confidence": {
  "pick": "home",
  "probability": 0.5904,
  "level": "medium_high",
  "level_tr": "orta-yüksek",
  "banko": false,
  "historical_hit_rate": 0.606,
  "band": [
   0.55,
   0.6
  ],
  "basis_tr": "Modelin favoriye bu olasılık bandında verdiği tahminlerin geçmişte gerçekleşme oranı (12 lig, 2024-2027, 9.013 maç)."
 },
 "factors": {
  "summary_tr": "Stuttgart yorgunluk ve Karazor şüphesiyle; Werder ise Weiser kaybıyla zayıflıyor, ancak daha dinli.",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05T05:26:29Z",
  "lineups_confirmed": false,
  "items": [
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "14 günde 5 maç, 2 UCL deplasmanı sonrası yorgunluk riski",
    "source": "fixture list",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 19:48"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Karazor Galatasaray maçında çıkarıldı, sakatlık şüphesi var",
    "source": "90min.de",
    "published_at": "2026-11-03 18:40"
   },
   {
    "team": "home",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Demirovic golcü formunda, Leverkusene 4-2 galibiyet",
    "source": "Bundesliga official",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 14:28"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "injury",
    "category_tr": "Sakatlık",
    "direction": -1,
    "summary_tr": "Weiser kas sakatlığıyla kadroda yok, resmi onaylandı",
    "source": "Werder Bremen / Kicker / Sky.de",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04 12:21"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "fixture_congestion",
    "category_tr": "Fikstür",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son maç 31 Ekim, 7 gün dinlenme avantajı var",
    "source": "fixture list",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 00:00"
   },
   {
    "team": "away",
    "category": "form",
    "category_tr": "Form",
    "direction": 1,
    "summary_tr": "Son 5 maçta 2 galibiyet 2 beraberlik, Hoffenheim'e 2-0",
    "source": "fixture list",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31 00:00"
   }
  ]
 },
 "video": null,
 "notes_tr": {
  "summary": null,
  "items": []
 }
}