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UEFA Europa League ·

PFK Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok prediction

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Skorbot's model gives PFK Levski Sofia a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Jagiellonia Białystok 25%. Predicted score: 1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%).

Updated:

Result probabilities

49%PFK Levski Sofia26%Draw25%Jagiellonia Białystok

Goals

Expected goals – PFK Levski Sofia1.62
Expected goals – Jagiellonia Białystok1.09
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score54%
PFK Levski Sofia scores80%
Jagiellonia Białystok scores66%
PFK Levski Sofia leads at half-time37%

Last 5 matches

PFK Levski Sofia

WDL

1W 1D 1L · 4 pts · goals 3–3

  • 22 Oct 2026FC Viktoria Plzeň (away)2–1
  • 15 Oct 2026NEC (away)1–1
  • 17 Sep 2026FC Red Bull Salzburg (home)0–1

Jagiellonia Białystok

LWL

1W 0D 2L · 3 pts · goals 4–6

  • 22 Oct 2026RSC Anderlecht (home)0–3
  • 15 Oct 2026Ararat-Armenia FA (home)3–1
  • 16 Sep 2026Olympiakós SFP (away)1–2

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
PFK Levski Sofia 1–1 Jagiellonia Białystok12%
PFK Levski Sofia 1–0 Jagiellonia Białystok10%
PFK Levski Sofia 2–1 Jagiellonia Białystok10%
PFK Levski Sofia 2–0 Jagiellonia Białystok9%
PFK Levski Sofia 0–0 Jagiellonia Białystok7%
PFK Levski Sofia 0–1 Jagiellonia Białystok7%

How reliable is this pick?

Medium confidence

The model's favourite (PFK Levski Sofia win) gets 49%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Team news read by AI

  • FormPFK Levski Sofia · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
  • Fixture congestionPFK Levski Sofia · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
  • MoralePFK Levski Sofia · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
  • FormJagiellonia Białystok · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • Fixture congestionJagiellonia Białystok · ▼ negative (Source: UA.NEWS)
  • RotationJagiellonia Białystok · ▼ negative (Source: UA.NEWS)
  • MoraleJagiellonia Białystok · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

Questions

Who will win PFK Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?

The model's pick is PFK Levski Sofia win with 49%. Probabilities: PFK Levski Sofia 49%, draw 26%, Jagiellonia Białystok 25%.

What is the predicted score for PFK Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?

1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 12%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in PFK Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 54%. Expected goals: PFK Levski Sofia 1.62, Jagiellonia Białystok 1.09.

What is the recent form of PFK Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia Białystok?

PFK Levski Sofia: W D L (4 pts from the last 5). Jagiellonia Białystok: L W L (3 pts).

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