FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP prediction
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Skorbot's model gives FK Shakhtar Donetsk a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sporting CP 48%. Predicted score: 1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%).
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.18 |
| Expected goals – Sporting CP | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk scores | 69% |
| Sporting CP scores | 81% |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk leads at half-time | 23% |
Last 5 matches
FK Shakhtar Donetsk
1W 1D 1L · 4 pts · goals 4–3
- 21 Oct 2026Inter (away)0–1
- 14 Oct 2026AEK (home)3–1
- 10 Sep 2026PSV Eindhoven (away)1–1
Sporting CP
2W 0D 1L · 6 pts · goals 7–4
- 21 Oct 2026LASK Linz (home)2–3
- 13 Oct 2026Racing Club de Lens (away)2–0
- 9 Sep 2026Galatasaray (home)3–1
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1–1 Sporting CP | 12% |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1–2 Sporting CP | 10% |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk 0–1 Sporting CP | 9% |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk 0–2 Sporting CP | 8% |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk 2–1 Sporting CP | 7% |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk 0–0 Sporting CP | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
Medium confidence
The model's favourite (Sporting CP win) gets 48%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Questions
Who will win FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
The model's pick is Sporting CP win with 48%. Probabilities: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 26%, draw 25%, Sporting CP 48%.
What is the predicted score for FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 12%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 57%. Expected goals: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1.18, Sporting CP 1.67.
What is the recent form of FK Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP?
FK Shakhtar Donetsk: L W D (4 pts from the last 5). Sporting CP: L W W (6 pts).
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