Chapecoense vs Mirassol prediction
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Skorbot's model gives Chapecoense a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mirassol 49%. Predicted score: 1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (11%).
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – Chapecoense | 1.24 |
| Expected goals – Mirassol | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
| Chapecoense scores | 71% |
| Mirassol scores | 83% |
| Chapecoense leads at half-time | 23% |
Last 5 matches
Chapecoense
1W 0D 4L · 3 pts · goals 3–13
- 28 Oct 2026Bragantino (away)0–3
- 24 Oct 2026Fluminense (home)2–1
- 17 Oct 2026Botafogo (away)0–1
- 12 Oct 2026Athletico Paranaense (home)1–4
- 7 Oct 2026Vitória (away)0–4
Mirassol
1W 2D 2L · 5 pts · goals 4–5
- 30 Oct 2026Corinthians (away)0–2
- 24 Oct 2026São Paulo (home)1–1
- 16 Oct 2026Internacional (home)2–0
- 11 Oct 2026Bahia (away)0–1
- 7 Oct 2026Bragantino (away)1–1
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Chapecoense 1–1 Mirassol | 11% |
| Chapecoense 1–2 Mirassol | 10% |
| Chapecoense 0–1 Mirassol | 8% |
| Chapecoense 0–2 Mirassol | 8% |
| Chapecoense 2–1 Mirassol | 7% |
| Chapecoense 2–2 Mirassol | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
Medium confidence
The model's favourite (Mirassol win) gets 49%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- FormChapecoense · ▼ negative (Source: Portal Tri Notícias)
- MotivationChapecoense · ▼ negative (Source: ge)
- MoraleChapecoense · ▼ negative (Source: fixture list)
- SuspensionMirassol · ▼ negative (Source: Rádio Itatiaia)
- MotivationMirassol · ▲ positive (Source: iG Esportes)
- Fixture congestionMirassol · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
The model's pick is Mirassol win with 49%. Probabilities: Chapecoense 27%, draw 25%, Mirassol 49%.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 11%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 59%. Expected goals: Chapecoense 1.24, Mirassol 1.75.
What is the recent form of Chapecoense and Mirassol?
Chapecoense: L W L L L (3 pts from the last 5). Mirassol: L D W L D (5 pts).
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
- 30 Oct 2026 · 00:30Grêmio – Athletico ParanaenseResult 2–0 · Predicted 1–0 ✓
- 30 Oct 2026 · 23:00Corinthians – MirassolResult 2–0 · Predicted 1–0 ✓
- 2 Nov 2026 · 23:00Bragantino – SantosBragantino win 49% · 2–1
- 4 Nov 2026 · 00:30Internacional – CoritibaInternacional win 60% · 1–0 Strong pick (≥ 60%)
- 4 Nov 2026 · 22:30Athletico Paranaense – Vasco da GamaAthletico Paranaense win 44% · 1–0
- 4 Nov 2026 · 22:30Flamengo – GrêmioFlamengo win 83% · 3–1 Strong pick (≥ 60%)